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Andy Grogan-Kaylor

@agrogankaylor.bsky.social
366 followers 839 following 38 posts

Professor at the University of Michigan. I study parenting and child development, most recently using international data, and often using multilevel models. I work in both Stata and R, and am trying to get better at Julia.

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Andy Grogan-Kaylor @agrogankaylor.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
A collection of our #ArcGIS #storymaps on parenting and child development from UNICEF MICS data: arcg.is/0uzKv
arcg.is
Multiple Indicator Cluster Surveys (MICS) (UNICEF Data)
Cross Cultural Studies Of Parenting And Child Development
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Andy Grogan-Kaylor @agrogankaylor.bsky.social · 31/07/2026
This article provides a great & very readable summary of the findings of our 2016 meta-analytic review of the research literature on corporal punishment: www.bolde.com/studies-trac...
bolde.com
Studies tracing discipline across generations found the spanking Boomer-era parents relied on most has quietly collapsed in a single generation, and the science that reassessed it explains why
Spanking had a dozen names. A swat. A pop. A spanking. Getting the belt, getting the switch, getting it when they got home. The language changed house to house, but the thing itself was the same, and ...
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Andy Grogan-Kaylor @agrogankaylor.bsky.social · 07/07/2026
New post: rossgk2.github.io/3b1b_aiml/Tr...
decorative image of a network
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Andy Grogan-Kaylor @agrogankaylor.bsky.social · 27/06/2026
Proud of my kid for this interesting and deeply thought through series of articles on AI, rossgk2.github.io/3b1b_aiml/, written as a kind of "companion" to the wonderful videos by 3Blue1Brown.
decorative image of green 3D prisms on a black background
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Andy Grogan-Kaylor @agrogankaylor.bsky.social · 27/06/2026
"We Need Methods Suited To The Complexity Of The Data And To The Complexity Of The Issues We Study" Thoughts for the study of child well-being and child maltreatment: authors.elsevier.com/a/1nJrYX18Yh...
image of mathematical writing
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Andy Grogan-Kaylor @agrogankaylor.bsky.social · 19/06/2026
New #RStats package for Bayesian Qsort analysis by my colleague Raymond Azadda: rdazadda.github.io/bayesqm/
rdazadda.github.io
Bayesian Q Methodology: Probabilistic Factor Analysis
A Bayesian factor-analytic framework for Q methodology. Fits a low-rank factor model to Q-sort data with a Student-t likelihood and a hierarchical normal prior on loadings, samples the posterior with ...
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Andy Grogan-Kaylor @agrogankaylor.bsky.social · 22/04/2026
I've developed a "scrollytelling" overview of findings from a study we published a few years ago. agrogan1.github.io/closeread/pa... patterns of caregiver discipline
patterns of caregiver discipline
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Andy Grogan-Kaylor @agrogankaylor.bsky.social · 19/03/2026
Multiple measures of child maltreatment
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Andy Grogan-Kaylor @agrogankaylor.bsky.social · 19/03/2026
agrogan1.github.io/closeread/tr... Information about child maltreatment can come from multiple sources. We employ multiple advanced quantitative strategies to demonstrate how one might productively triangulate upon the measurement of child maltreatment.
agrogan1.github.io
Squaring the Circle: Is Triangulation of Child Abuse Reports Helpful?
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Andy Grogan-Kaylor @agrogankaylor.bsky.social · 08/03/2026
Data visualization in #Stata, an updated link: agrogan1.github.io/posts/data-v...
agrogan1.github.io
Data Visualization With Stata – Andrew Grogan-Kaylor
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Andy Grogan-Kaylor @agrogankaylor.bsky.social · 08/03/2026
Data visualization with #Stata, the basics: agrogan1.github.io/posts/data-v...
agrogan1.github.io
Data Visualization With Stata (The Basics) – Andrew Grogan-Kaylor
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Andy Grogan-Kaylor @agrogankaylor.bsky.social · 20/02/2026
Thank you!
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Andy Grogan-Kaylor @agrogankaylor.bsky.social · 03/02/2026
agrogan1.github.io/closeread/em... When Empathy Helps and Hurts New paper on empathy and mental health outcomes. Empathy appears to be a "risky strength". Too much or too little empathy appear to be risk factors, while a moderate amount of empathy appears protective.
graph of relationship of empathy, maltreatment and self-harm thoughts.
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Andy Grogan-Kaylor @agrogankaylor.bsky.social · 02/01/2026
globalfamilies.quarto.pub/be-less-wrong/ Be Less Wrong A tutorial on reasons for using quantitative methods. I’ve made some updates: minor updates to the diagrams; and notes clarifying the relationship of ideas in the tutorial to ideas about RCT’s, mediation, confounders, and statistical colliders.
a diagram illustrating hypothetical statistical relationships
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Andy Grogan-Kaylor @agrogankaylor.bsky.social · 02/09/2025
Some updated #Stata resources for the new academic year. * agrogan1.github.io/Stata/two-pa... * agrogan1.github.io/Stata/data-v...
agrogan1.github.io
Two Page Stata
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Andy Grogan-Kaylor @agrogankaylor.bsky.social · 28/08/2025
"The University of Michigan School of Social Work is launching a new and innovative 30-credit Master of Arts degree in #SocialImpact Leadership." ssw.umich.edu/about/news-e...
ssw.umich.edu
The School of Social Work Announces New Master’s Degree in Social Impact Leadership | University of Michigan School of Social Work
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Andy Grogan-Kaylor @agrogankaylor.bsky.social · 25/07/2025
Now available both in print and online: books.google.com/books/about/...
books.google.com
Multilevel Thinking
Multilevel models have become very common in social research, however, there are aspects of these models that are explored only infrequently. Those that rarely make their way into courses and training...
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Andy Grogan-Kaylor @agrogankaylor.bsky.social · 24/07/2025
Why care about these technicalities? Interactions are one of our major statistical tools for examining similarity or difference in statistical relationships across groups, identities, or contexts.
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Andy Grogan-Kaylor @agrogankaylor.bsky.social · 21/07/2025
Interactions in logistic regression can be particularly challenging to work with: agrogan1.github.io/newstuff/cat...
agrogan1.github.io
Interactions in Logistic Regression
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Andy Grogan-Kaylor @agrogankaylor.bsky.social · 21/07/2025
Both main effects and interactions need to be interpreted together: agrogan1.github.io/posts/intera... agrogan1.github.io/posts/intera...
agrogan1.github.io
Interactions And Main Effects Need To Be Interpreted Together – Andrew Grogan-Kaylor
A Mathematical Perspective
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Andy Grogan-Kaylor @agrogankaylor.bsky.social · 21/07/2025
Interactions are often thought of as encompassing a main effect (x), and a moderator (m), but because of the commutative property of multiplication, interactions are essentially symmetric: agrogan1.github.io/posts/intera...
agrogan1.github.io
Interactions Are Symmetric – Andrew Grogan-Kaylor
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Andy Grogan-Kaylor @agrogankaylor.bsky.social · 21/07/2025
For many models, adding a main effect and interaction for group can be seen as giving each group its own regression line with its own intercept and its own slope: agrogan1.github.io/posts/intera... agrogan1.github.io/posts/intera...
agrogan1.github.io
Interactions and Moderation – Andrew Grogan-Kaylor
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Andy Grogan-Kaylor @agrogankaylor.bsky.social · 21/07/2025
A thread on #interactions and #moderation.
slope of a mountain
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Andy Grogan-Kaylor @agrogankaylor.bsky.social · 21/06/2025
arcg.is/1jHXPX1
arcg.is
How Does Context Shape Caregivers' Psychosocial Stimulation?
A Study of Georgia and Mongolia
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Andy Grogan-Kaylor @agrogankaylor.bsky.social · 13/06/2025
I argue that multilevel modeling is a principled way to explore human variation and commonality.
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Andy Grogan-Kaylor @agrogankaylor.bsky.social · 13/06/2025
I try to provide a tutorial for applied researchers, and to bring "down to earth" some of the more advanced ideas about multilevel modeling that I see in the methodological literature, but rarely see in applied work.
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Andy Grogan-Kaylor @agrogankaylor.bsky.social · 13/06/2025
My new book, Multilevel Thinking, is now published in Electronic version by Oxford University Press: academic.oup.com/book/60530. #stata #rstats #julialang
academic.oup.com
Multilevel Thinking: Discovering Variation, Universals, and Particulars in Cross-Cultural Research
Abstract. This book introduces the ideas of multilevel modeling. Chapters cover: the cross-sectional model; the longitudinal model; models for binary outco
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Andy Grogan-Kaylor @agrogankaylor.bsky.social · 18/05/2025
UM News release about our research: news.umich.edu/violence-bet.... See also: globalfamilies.quarto.pub/spillover-of...
news.umich.edu
Violence between parents or in the community increases risk of child punishment
Exposure to higher rates of violence in the larger social context may spill over to family violence, including caregivers' use of physical child abuse, according to a new University of Michigan study.
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Andy Grogan-Kaylor @agrogankaylor.bsky.social · 23/04/2025
DOI for the Open Access article: doi.org/10.1016/j.ch...
doi.org
Redirecting
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Andy Grogan-Kaylor @agrogankaylor.bsky.social · 13/04/2025
Just similarity and difference across groups or countries, which I think, multilevel models let us start to see. Simply the size of the random slopes. Now that I’ve written the book, I need to figure out even better ways to quantify this.
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Andy Grogan-Kaylor @agrogankaylor.bsky.social · 13/04/2025
I’d like to share that my book, Multilevel Thinking: Discovering Variation, Universals, and Particulars in Cross-Cultural Research is available for pre-order at Oxford University Press: global.oup.com/academic/pro... * Includes appendices for estimating MLMs in #Stata, #Rstats, and #Julialang.
global.oup.com
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Andy Grogan-Kaylor @agrogankaylor.bsky.social · 13/04/2025
We've published a new paper: Spillover of Macro-Level Violence to Parental Physical Abuse of Children in Low- and Middle-Income Countries. The paper should be online shortly, but in the meantime, we've prepared a scrollable summary here: globalfamilies.quarto.pub/spillover-of...
Countries in UNICEF MICS Data
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Andy Grogan-Kaylor @agrogankaylor.bsky.social · 18/03/2025
Thank you for the kind words!
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Andy Grogan-Kaylor @agrogankaylor.bsky.social · 17/03/2025
ArcGIS StoryMap visualization of our new article on parenting of orphans: arcg.is/1HjKyW2
arcg.is
Orphan Discipline and Child Neglect
An Analysis from 48 Countries
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Andy Grogan-Kaylor @agrogankaylor.bsky.social · 16/03/2025
Same information as a treemap.
treemap showing that most of the world's children are not protected from physical punishment
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Andy Grogan-Kaylor @agrogankaylor.bsky.social · 29/01/2025
Cartogram showing that most of the world's children are not protected from #corporal_punishment #rstats #gis
Most of the world's children are not protected from corporal punishment.
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Andy Grogan-Kaylor @agrogankaylor.bsky.social · 28/12/2024
“Be Less Wrong”, the importance of multivariate, quantitative thinking, especially when thinking about treatments, programs, and interventions for social issues: globalfamilies.quarto.pub/be-less-wrong/ #closeread #quarto
One model accounts for group, while the other does not.
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Andy Grogan-Kaylor @agrogankaylor.bsky.social · 17/12/2024
I experimented with using the new #closeread (closeread.dev/gallery/) extension for #Quarto to share the results of an article we published last year on parenting and child development in 60 countries: globalfamilies.quarto.pub/parenting/
globalfamilies.quarto.pub
What Should Parents Do?
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