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Octopus Agile Predictor

@agilepredict.bsky.social
1.8K followers 3 following 680 posts

Not affiliated with Octopus Energy Account run by a human 100% accuracy predicting very low and negative rates over 6 hours before published by Octopus. Buy me a coffee! —> ko-fi.com/agilepredict

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Octopus Agile Predictor @agilepredict.bsky.social · 10/03/2026
Tomorrow's Prices: 11th March Overnight low ~ 0p Morning peak ~ 16p Afternoon low ~ 4p Evening peak ~ 45p Not too sure about this price action, but hopefully it's going to hold through to EPEX close.
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Octopus Agile Predictor @agilepredict.bsky.social · 31/01/2026
Tomorrow's Prices: 1st March Overnight low ~ 20p Morning peak ~ 24p Afternoon low ~ 23p Evening peak ~ 43p
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Octopus Agile Predictor @agilepredict.bsky.social · 22/01/2026
"Wind is intermittent" 4 out of 10 nukes down, one running reduced output.
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Octopus Agile Predictor @agilepredict.bsky.social · 01/01/2026
I understand where you're coming from - here's a cut and paste which might give clarification:
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Octopus Agile Predictor @agilepredict.bsky.social · 01/01/2026
2025 generation round-up! Wind power was the main producer with 29.7% of the year's generation (but I thought they didn't work?) 🥰 37.3% of the grid was powered from renewables vs 26.8% fossil fuels. 💪 .... and the lights didn't go out 😜 Meanwhile nuclear came in at 11.8%
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Octopus Agile Predictor @agilepredict.bsky.social · 19/12/2025
Tomorrow's Prices: 20th December Overnight low ~ 11p Morning peak ~ 13p Afternoon low ~ 13p Evening peak ~ 27p Battery nerd update : Been slow charging all week, the cells are now nicely balanced and BMS systems all tested. Will commission on Sunday hopefully.
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Octopus Agile Predictor @agilepredict.bsky.social · 12/12/2025
For those interested in battery tech, this is what 64kWh of LiFePo4 (LFP) cells looks like. ~440kg! All together rated for just over 30kw continuous charge/discharge (not that my inverter can do that 😀).
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Octopus Agile Predictor @agilepredict.bsky.social · 12/10/2025
Won’t affect me 😁
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Octopus Agile Predictor @agilepredict.bsky.social · 23/09/2025
Just noticed how many nukes are out of action....
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Octopus Agile Predictor @agilepredict.bsky.social · 22/06/2025
🚨🚨NEGATIVE PRICING ALERT!!🚨 Tomorrow's Prices: 23rd June Overnight low ~ 0p Morning peak ~ 8p Afternoon low ~ -3p Evening peak ~ 32p Should be negative for most of the afternoon!
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Octopus Agile Predictor @agilepredict.bsky.social · 21/06/2025
🚨SUPER NEGATIVE PRICING ALERT!!🚨 Tomorrow's Prices: 22nd June Overnight low ~ 21p Getting steadily cheaper until Afternoon low ~ -2p @ ~1300 Evening peak ~ 38p Enjoy ! 🥳🥳🥳🥳
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Octopus Agile Predictor @agilepredict.bsky.social · 14/06/2025
Tomorrow's Prices: 15th June Overnight HIGH ~ 21p Steadily reducing to : Afternoon low ~ 3p Evening peak ~ 37p
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Octopus Agile Predictor @agilepredict.bsky.social · 07/06/2025
🚨🚨SUPER LOW/NEGATIVE PRICING ALERT!!!🚨 Tomorrow's Prices: 8th June Overnight HIGH ~ 20p (00:00) Falling steadily to low of ~0p (or slightly negative) at 09:00-10:00 Evening peak ~ 38p
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Octopus Agile Predictor @agilepredict.bsky.social · 30/03/2025
Right now, the UK grid is being powered by 72% generation that has no fuel costs. Wind producing 58.3% Solar producing 13.2% Nuclear producing 11% Gas producing 6.1%
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Octopus Agile Predictor @agilepredict.bsky.social · 22/02/2025
Tomorrow's Prices: 23rd February Overnight low ~ 11p Morning peak ~ 12p Afternoon low ~ 7p Evening peak ~ 36p Much better!
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Octopus Agile Predictor @agilepredict.bsky.social · 22/02/2025
Yesterday, wind power hit 22GW (the current record is 22.5), 53% of UK electricity over last two days vs 12.1% gas and 13% nuclear. Tomorrow is looking very promising as temperatures remain mild and a widespread band of wind engulfing the UK
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Octopus Agile Predictor @agilepredict.bsky.social · 17/02/2025
Right now, solar is generating more than Nuclear.
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Octopus Agile Predictor @agilepredict.bsky.social · 06/02/2025
img.youtube.com/vi/Xe1a1wHxT...
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Octopus Agile Predictor @agilepredict.bsky.social · 29/01/2025
Over the past week, wind power has produced 40% of the UK's electricity supply, Double the output of gas (which remains a versatile backup source) and almost four times that of nuclear (a steady ~4.5 GW) without emitting a single gram of carbon.
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Octopus Agile Predictor @agilepredict.bsky.social · 24/01/2025
Right now, wind power powering the UK with 20 GW of electricity, over 60% of the UK's demand is being met.
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Octopus Agile Predictor @agilepredict.bsky.social · 23/01/2025
Tomorrow's Prices: Overnight low ~ 7p Morning peak ~ 27p Afternoon low ~ 20p Evening peak ~41p
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Octopus Agile Predictor @agilepredict.bsky.social · 23/01/2025
Ominously nothing yet from one auction provider for tomorrow - but looking at the spot market electricity is free from 15:30 today...
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Octopus Agile Predictor @agilepredict.bsky.social · 19/01/2025
Let's see how our European neighbours are getting on tomorrow... 👀👀 Germany seeing the highest prices (higher than us) of $0.99 Morning Peak and $1.47 evening peak (if agile pricing formula is applied.
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Octopus Agile Predictor @agilepredict.bsky.social · 19/01/2025
The spot price did go that high momentarily. But the article does not seem to mention the countless times that the spot price goes negative. Like today at 2am, a price of £-1,144.69/Mwh.
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Octopus Agile Predictor @agilepredict.bsky.social · 19/01/2025
Looking at the week ahead, I'm afraid that it all looks very calm and quiet (read: expensive)... that is until Friday, when we are going to get absolutely hammered by a storm (see video), with another on its tail coming Monday.
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Octopus Agile Predictor @agilepredict.bsky.social · 13/01/2025
Tomorrow's Prices: 14th January Overnight low ~ 19p Morning peak ~ 28p Afternoon low ~ 22p Evening peak ~ 49p
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Octopus Agile Predictor @agilepredict.bsky.social · 12/01/2025
Tomorrow's Prices: 13th January Overnight low ~ 19p Morning peak ~ 26p Afternoon low ~22p Evening peak ~ 42p
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Octopus Agile Predictor @agilepredict.bsky.social · 10/01/2025
Tomorrow's Prices: 11th January Overnight low ~ 19p Morning peak ~ 27p Afternoon low ~ 23p Evening peak ~ 46p
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Octopus Agile Predictor @agilepredict.bsky.social · 09/01/2025
⚠️⚠️HIGH PRICING ALERT!!!⚠️⚠️ Tomorrow's Prices: 10th January Overnight low ~ 18p Morning ~ 63p (10am) Afternoon ~80p (1pm) Evening peak ~ £1 Post-evening peak ~23p Highest wholesale prices I have seen. £600/MWH on the peak
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Octopus Agile Predictor @agilepredict.bsky.social · 08/01/2025
Tomorrow's Prices: 9th January Overnight low ~ 19p Morning peak ~ 29p Afternoon low ~ 21p Evening peak ~ 40p
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Octopus Agile Predictor @agilepredict.bsky.social · 07/01/2025
⚠️⚠️HIGH PRICING ALERT⚠️⚠️ Tomorrow's Prices: 8th January Overnight low ~ 16p (~19p 00:00-05:00) rising steadily throughout the day to an evening peak of ~ 92p (😱) Make sure you charge etc before 0500!!
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Octopus Agile Predictor @agilepredict.bsky.social · 03/01/2025
High pressure over UK and our euro neighbours
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Octopus Agile Predictor @agilepredict.bsky.social · 01/01/2025
The answer is: It's happening right now. If you're on a tariff that gives you exposure to the wholesale market then your energy would have been free or negatively priced this morning. Because of renewables.
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Octopus Agile Predictor @agilepredict.bsky.social · 01/01/2025
So the results are in! In 2024, Wind Power was the MAIN contributor of electricity into the UK grid with 29.4%. Gas was a close second at 25.9%. Also, in line with this, wholesale energy prices DROPPED. It's all going in the right direction.
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Octopus Agile Predictor @agilepredict.bsky.social · 28/12/2024
Eaegerly awaiting the auction results at 10am. Lots of wind everywhere tomorrow it seems, which should keep export prices in check. Looking ahead for the week, it should be a lot windier than the week just gone. Only calm day seems to be Wednesday in the near term.
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Octopus Agile Predictor @agilepredict.bsky.social · 20/12/2024
🔮🔮Christmas Day🔮🔮 I don't think we're going to see negative prices like last year. Early morning looks moderately windy in the north (picture 1) but then high pressure looks to hold off the wind for the rest of the day (picture 2) Cook your turkey on Sunday! 😀🎄
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Octopus Agile Predictor @agilepredict.bsky.social · 16/12/2024
Looking ahead this week, it seems that late Tuesday into Wednesday will be very windy and then Sunday looks to be somewhat epic with a storm to the north. Video pauses at both those events
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Octopus Agile Predictor @agilepredict.bsky.social · 15/12/2024
🚨🚨SUPER CHEAP PRICING ALERT!!!🚨🚨 Tomorrow's Prices: 16th December Overnight low ~0p (00:00-0400) Morning peak ~22p Afternoon low ~18p Evening peak ~36p Looking ahead, Tuesday (pictured) and Thursday look to have some great wind potential, so gear up for some good prices!
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Octopus Agile Predictor @agilepredict.bsky.social · 12/12/2024
This coming Thursday looks to be one to watch for wind power - a storm sweeping through.
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Octopus Agile Predictor @agilepredict.bsky.social · 05/12/2024
🚨🚨CHEAP PRICING ALERT!! 🚨🚨 Tomorrow's Prices: 6th December Overnight low ~ 2p (0100-0400) Morning peak ~ 22p Afternoon low ~ 24p Evening peak ~ 42p We shouldn't have long to wait until the next cheap pricing period, Saturday night/Sunday morning (pictured) looks stormy
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Octopus Agile Predictor @agilepredict.bsky.social · 04/12/2024
Tomorrow's Prices: 5th December Overnight low ~15p Morning peak ~ 25p Afternoon low ~23p Evening peak ~ 37p POST-evening peak - 9p (🥳) after the evening peak, the price plummets,undoubtedly due to the incoming storm . From then on it's late Sat/early Sun to watch
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Octopus Agile Predictor @agilepredict.bsky.social · 21/11/2024
Apologies all, but I had to do it 😀 #StormBert @metoffice @bbcweather
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Octopus Agile Predictor @agilepredict.bsky.social · 21/11/2024
Russian #Gas Futures. We cannot underestimate the effect that the Ukraine conflict will have on gas import prices - chart below shows that prices have spiked to the highest levels this year.
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Octopus Agile Predictor @agilepredict.bsky.social · 20/11/2024
Current generation mix. Wind power is providing the most electricity generation in the UK.
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Octopus Agile Predictor @agilepredict.bsky.social · 20/11/2024
It’s minus figures outside and my £500 Mitsubishi heat pump is kicking out 42 degree heat - I call that a win!
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Octopus Agile Predictor @agilepredict.bsky.social · 18/11/2024
A price comparison of this year and last.
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Octopus Agile Predictor @agilepredict.bsky.social · 18/11/2024
Tomorrow's Prices: 19th November Overnight low ~ 18p Morning peak ~ 27p Afternoon low ~ 23p Evening peak ~ 40p Next Saturday (in video) looks like a deluge of wind - but as we have seen lately, it doesn't always translate into low prices if the temperatures are cold.
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Octopus Agile Predictor @agilepredict.bsky.social · 17/11/2024
Tomorrow's Prices: 18th November Overnight low ~ 17p Morning peak ~24p Afternoon low ~27p Evening peak ~ 45p Yucky price action in the afternoon, no price dip to speak of. Prices rise constantly from 0400 all the way to 1700. Looking ahead, Tuesday is a windy day. (pic)
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Octopus Agile Predictor @agilepredict.bsky.social · 14/11/2024
Most of Saturday looking quite windy.
picture of wind map of england
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Octopus Agile Predictor @agilepredict.bsky.social · 11/11/2024
Tomorrow's Prices: 12thNovember Overnight low ~ 18p Morning peak ~24p Afternoon low ~22p Evening peak ~ 51p Notable days coming up include Thursday which will still be mild, and Saturday (pictured) which looks to be a lot windier.
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