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Reposted by David Hale

Ben Roberts @insidekentucky.bsky.social · 8h

I recently resigned from the Herald-Leader as a result of McClatchy’s continued attacks on quality journalism. I’m launching an independent website dedicated to objective Kentucky basketball coverage. And I’d appreciate your support! Here’s more: www.insidekentuckybasketball.com/welcome-to-i...

insidekentuckybasketball.com

Inside Kentucky Basketball: A new site for Wildcats coverage

Introducing a new website dedicated to independent coverage of the UK men's basketball team from former Herald-Leader beat writer Ben Roberts.

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David Hale @adavidhalejoint.bsky.social · 8h

Just as I'm sure I predicted before the season, the best explosive play rate differentials in the country belong to... Northwestern and Wake Forest. Explosives vs. success + offense and defense splits...

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David Hale @adavidhalejoint.bsky.social · 11/10/2026

Strength of Record through Week 6 1. UGA 2. Indiana 3. UCLA 4. UK 5. Bama 6. ND 7. Texas 8. Miami 9. Texas Tech 10. Miss St 11. BYU 12. Wake 13. Iowa 14. Ole Miss 15. Ohio State 16. Wisconsin 17. USC 18. Utah 19. Hou 20. Mizz 21. Tenn 22. Okla 23. Northwestern 24. Boise 25. JMU 26. Clemson (!)

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David Hale @adavidhalejoint.bsky.social · 11/10/2026

Per FPI, Miami now has a 82.6% chance to win the ACC. Wake - 8.6% SMU - 2.7% Pitt - 1.9% Lville - 1.8% Clemson actually has the sixth-best odds to make the ACCCG (4%).

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David Hale @adavidhalejoint.bsky.social · 11/10/2026

The last 3 JMU coaches -- Curt Cignetti, Bob Chesney and Billy Napier -- are a combined 17-0 so far this season.

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David Hale @adavidhalejoint.bsky.social · 10/10/2026

UNC is 1st team to win a P4 game w/20 yards or less rushing since 2023 (Wash over AzSt). Those are the only 2 FBS games in playoff era where a team won w/20 or fewer rush yards, 300 or fewer total yards, 3 or fewer third-down conversions and didn't win the turnover battle.

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David Hale @adavidhalejoint.bsky.social · 10/10/2026

Jeremy Hecklinski is the first Iowa QB to throw for 3 TDs in a Big Ten game since 2021... and that was just the 7th time in the playoff era an Iowa QB had 200 pass yards & 3 pass TD in a conference win.

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David Hale @adavidhalejoint.bsky.social · 09/10/2026

ICYMI: For Inside ACCess, we talked to Ashton Daniels about FSU living up to its potential vs UVA… and needing to keep doing that moving forward.

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David Hale @adavidhalejoint.bsky.social · 09/10/2026

Newsletter: I wrote about Sturgill Simpson and making art that defies expectations, challenges preconceptions and, often, doesn’t make a lick of sense, and why we need that stuff now more than ever. davidhale.substack.com/p/make-art-n...

davidhale.substack.com

Make art not friends

Taking lessons from Sturgill Simpson plus interviews with CJ Bailey and Ashton Daniels, weekly ACC picks, and more.

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David Hale @adavidhalejoint.bsky.social · 08/10/2026

Great Inside ACCess tonight... Ashton Daniels joins to talk FSU-Lou... @aadelsonESPN & I adjust our preseason expectations for UVA, VT, Lou & more... Why the OC-QB relationship matters so much... and a can't miss interview with CJ Bailey! 5 pm tonight ACCN.

static.klipy.com

Kool Aid Man Oh Yeah

ALT: Kool Aid Man Oh Yeah

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David Hale @adavidhalejoint.bsky.social · 07/10/2026

5-0 teams this year: Miami, UGA, Bama, Texas Tech, Nebraska, ND, Indiana, Pitt... Texas, Duke, BYU, Utah and UCLA are 4-0. So, 5-0 basically gives you about a 4 in 5 chance of being in the mix in the final rankings.

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David Hale @adavidhalejoint.bsky.social · 07/10/2026

In 2024 and 2025 -- the 1st 2 years of the 12-team playoff -- 23 P4 teams opened the year 5-0. 13 of 23 made the playoff. 5 others ranked between Nos. 12-18 in the final playoff rankings. The only non-contenders: 2024 Duke and Pitt; 2025 Iowa State, GT and Missouri.

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David Hale @adavidhalejoint.bsky.social · 06/10/2026

EPA/Drive 1. Miami, 1.47 2. Ohio State, 1.46 3. Indiana, 1.34 7. Wake, 1.21 13. UGA, 1.14 17. Pitt, 1.04 20. SMU, 1.01 63. Texas, 0.37 64. UNC, 0.36 113. Okla, -0.17 121. Maryland, -0.25 138. Clemson, -0.71

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David Hale @adavidhalejoint.bsky.social · 06/10/2026

Ousmane Kromah had 15 forced missed tackles vs. Virginia. He's got an FBS-best 41 on the year on just 81 carries. 2. Michael Hawkins, 37 3. Nate Sheppard, 33 3. Justice Haynes, 33 5. Fame Ijeboi, 32 5. Adam Mohammed, 32 7. Jaheim White, 31 8. Wayshawn Parker, 30

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David Hale @adavidhalejoint.bsky.social · 06/10/2026

Success Differential vs Explosive Differential through Week 5 (vs FBS only)... Duke is No. 1 in P4 in explosives differential. Stanford is... not. And Kansas? Skewed a bit w/a 55-0 win over MTSU.

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David Hale @adavidhalejoint.bsky.social · 05/10/2026

🎵Baby on board Something something Burt Ward..,🎵 This thing writes itself.

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David Hale @adavidhalejoint.bsky.social · 04/10/2026

Sacks allowed this year: Kansas State - 0 Duke - 1 Notre Dame - 2 - Mich St - 17 Clemson - 17 Auburn - 18 Virginia - 19

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David Hale @adavidhalejoint.bsky.social · 04/10/2026

Most losses by 3 points or less in a 2-year span, playoff era (total losses): Boston College, 8 - 2014-15 (15) Louisville, 7 - 2025-present (8) Nebraska, 7 - 2022-23 (15) Virginia, 7 - 2022-23 (16) Notre Dame, 6 - 2015-16 (11) BC, 6 - 2015-16 (15)

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David Hale @adavidhalejoint.bsky.social · 04/10/2026

Man, tough year for Arkansas just keeps getting worse.

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David Hale @adavidhalejoint.bsky.social · 04/10/2026

FBS yards after catch leaders: Carlos Hernandez, Wake - 312 Vernell Brown, UF - 278 Que'Sean Brown, VT - 276 Malachi Toney, Miami - 254 Anthony Evans, MsSt - 231 Mario Sanders, USM - 230 Adam Mohammed, Cal - 224

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David Hale @adavidhalejoint.bsky.social · 04/10/2026

Miami QB play through 4 FBS games each of the last 3 seasons with 3 different QBs... Shannon Dawson knows what he's doing.

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David Hale @adavidhalejoint.bsky.social · 04/10/2026

Best Aug/Sept/Oct records since start of 2024: Indiana, 21-0 BYU, 20-0 Miami, 19-1 Oregon, 18-2 Pitt, 18-2 UGA, 17-2 Ohio State, 17-2

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David Hale @adavidhalejoint.bsky.social · 04/10/2026

In fairness though... UGA, Bama & Ohio State are 6-1 vs. ND in that span and all other non-ACC P4s are 3-20. Still, 3-20 > 1-45.

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David Hale @adavidhalejoint.bsky.social · 04/10/2026

In the past decade -- including the 2020 season as a league member -- Notre Dame is 47-6 vs. ACC opponents. Miami and Clemson are 5-2 vs. the Irish. Everyone else is a combined 1-45. Irish have won by an average of 18.1 points per game.

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David Hale @adavidhalejoint.bsky.social · 04/10/2026

18 teams wih: - 2+ P4 wins - road win - win vs. a winning opponent - win vs. FPI top 40 Alabama, Florida, Georgia, Indiana, Iowa, Kentucky, Miami, Minnesota, Mississippi State, Missouri, Notre Dame, Ohio State, Oklahoma State, SMU, Tennessee, Texas, Texas Tech, Wisconsin

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David Hale @adavidhalejoint.bsky.social · 03/10/2026

Gio Lopez... In 4.5 games so far this year: 1,666 total yards, 13 TD, 1 TO In 11 games last year: 1,880 total yards, 13 TD, 5 TO

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David Hale @adavidhalejoint.bsky.social · 02/10/2026

ICYMI: Asked Wake coach Jake Dickert how the Deacs continue to thrive in a world of big spending…

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David Hale @adavidhalejoint.bsky.social · 02/10/2026

Newsletter: Why are ACC teams consistently ignored by AP poll voters? Why do SEC teams like Missouri get the benefit of the doubt? And is anyone actually any good if they're not in the top 10? A deep dive into polls + Jake Dickert, bad FCS games & more... davidhale.substack.com/p/a-rank-ove...

davidhale.substack.com

A rank oversight

Quibbling with the AP top 25 ballot and rankings in general, plus Jake Dickert on winning with less, David Teel on UVA’s ACC hopes, and lots of other news and nuggets.

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Reposted by David Hale

James Gilbert @jamesleegilbert.bsky.social · 01/10/2026

"Outlined against a blue-gray October sky, the Four Horsemen rode again. In dramatic lore they are known as Famine, Pestilence, Destruction and Death. These are only aliases. Their real names are Stuhldreher, Miller, Crowley and Layden."... #UNCvsNotreDame 🧵

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David Hale @adavidhalejoint.bsky.social · 01/10/2026

Fun Inside ACCess coming your way at 5 pm on ACCN… - Why Pat Narduzzi isn’t worried about Mason Heintschel’s mid numbers vs P4 - breaking down Miami-Clemson - ACC bias in AP poll? - the godfather David Teel on VT & UVA - and a great interview with Wake coach Jake Dickert

static.klipy.com

Jonathan Van Ness: So Good

ALT: Jonathan Van Ness: So Good

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David Hale @adavidhalejoint.bsky.social · 28/09/2026

Explosive rates vs. success rates differentials through Week 4 filtering out FCS games... That cluster at the top is Mia, Indiana, Bama, OhSt & Utah. Some real #goacc material but look at Duke!

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David Hale @adavidhalejoint.bsky.social · 28/09/2026

Clemson is a 17.5-point dog at home to Miami in Week 5. Per the great Dave Bearman, these are the largest road favorites in Death Valley dating back 30+ years... FSU -16 in 1999 FSU -17 in 2003 FSU -20 in 1997 FSU -21 in 1995

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David Hale @adavidhalejoint.bsky.social · 27/09/2026

Arch Manning in 7 career true road games: 41.1 QBR, 59% completions, 5.9 yards-per-dropback, 7 TD, 6 INT, 24 sacks

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David Hale @adavidhalejoint.bsky.social · 27/09/2026

Dammit. Too many brunch mimosas.

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David Hale @adavidhalejoint.bsky.social · 27/09/2026

36.5% of Clemson's offensive drives this year have failed to pick up a first down. That's the highest rate in P4. Next worst is Clemson's former DC... Oklahoma is at 34%.

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David Hale @adavidhalejoint.bsky.social · 27/09/2026

Longest active win streaks: Indiana, 20 Notre Dame, 14 Utah, 10 Duke, 8 Texas, 7 Iowa, 7

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David Hale @adavidhalejoint.bsky.social · 27/09/2026

Longest active streaks scoring at least 30 and allowing 21 or less: Miami, 4 Georgia, 4 Utah, 4 Nebraska, 4 and... wait for it... UMass, 4

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David Hale @adavidhalejoint.bsky.social · 27/09/2026

P4 receivers with 500 yards so far: Jeremiah Smith, 617 (preseason All-American) Malachi Toney, 564 (preseason All-American) KJ Duff, 550 (preseason All-American) Carlos Hernandez, 516 (who?!?)

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David Hale @adavidhalejoint.bsky.social · 27/09/2026

Winner of that game needs to be ranked, yes. Simplistic answer but I think it comes down to QB play. Pitt's D is going to get after Grunk. Holstein has been bad vs. P4 this year.

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David Hale @adavidhalejoint.bsky.social · 27/09/2026

Best W-L as an outright dog, P4 since start of last year (min 5 games) UVA, 4-1 Houston, 4-3 Wake, 5-5 Ole Miss, 3-3 Vandy, 3-3

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David Hale @adavidhalejoint.bsky.social · 27/09/2026

14 teams w/2 P4 wins, 1 FPI top-40 win & 1 P4 road win: Texas UGA Miami ND Florida Bama Iowa Utah Miss St VT UCLA Wake Okla St

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David Hale @adavidhalejoint.bsky.social · 27/09/2026

P4 QBs averaging 300 pass yards per game: Kevin Jennings, SMU - 363.3 Drew Mestemaker, OkSt - 317.8 Trinidad Chambliss, Miss - 305.5 Jaden Craig, TCU - 303.3 Darian Mensah, Mia - 302.8 Julian Sayin, OSU - 301.5

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David Hale @adavidhalejoint.bsky.social · 27/09/2026

Teams with multiple P4 road wins so far: Miami Virginia Tech Mississippi State UCLA and Wake Forest

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David Hale @adavidhalejoint.bsky.social · 26/09/2026

Newsletter: I wrote about one of the big misnomers in football… that penalties kill teams. The numbers just don’t show it’s true… mostly. That + Lou’s hot start, Dabo’s program building, bad hair & more… davidhale.substack.com/p/throwing-f...

davidhale.substack.com

Throwing flags

How important are penalties really in college football? Plus Louisville’s rise, Nate Sheppard’s success, bad hair days and more.

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David Hale @adavidhalejoint.bsky.social · 22/09/2026

It’s both. Differentials - so off success rate - opponent success rate, etc.

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David Hale @adavidhalejoint.bsky.social · 22/09/2026

Through 3 games, Darian Mensah has 11 touchdown passes and 11 dropbacks that didn't gain yardage (8 incompletions, 1 sack, 2 completions for 0 yards). That's just lunacy.

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David Hale @adavidhalejoint.bsky.social · 22/09/2026

Success vs. Explosiveness through Week 3... Clemson, yikes. But, of course, this is a VERY small sample size and for many teams includes a lot of cupcake opponents.

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David Hale @adavidhalejoint.bsky.social · 22/09/2026

Georgia, who has played such woeful competition that Kirby had Dawgs practice vs themselves during breaks in the game, has the highest explosive play rate so far -- 21.3%. Louisville, who has played 2 ranked teams, is No. 2 at 19.6%. This Cards' offense is DANGEROUS.

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