Adam Isacson @adamisacson.com · 03/10/2026Flying back to DC, still savoring yesterday’s win. My testimony dove deeply into the numbers showing that Big Bend is *not* an area of high illegal entry. The transcript will show me saying, “OK this is going to get really nerdy.” And yeah, it was. From www.marfapublicradio.org/news/2026-10... 1142
Adam Isacson @adamisacson.com · 30/09/2026You see, Trump is joking about how hundreds of migrants fall from the giant new border wall each year, but "only" dozens of them actually die. Freaking hilarious, right? 12413
Adam Isacson @adamisacson.com · 29/09/2026If you're in Washington tomorrow and want a more hopeful take on a key aspect of Colombia’s 10-year-old peace accord, join us at the Notre Dame Keough School's Washington office at 10:00. RSVP here: docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1F... 041
Adam Isacson @adamisacson.com · 28/09/2026I'm very much looking forward to participating in this discussion of Colombia's peace efforts at @KeoughGlobalND's Washington office, this Wednesday morning. Join us in person! You can register here: docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1F... 021
Adam Isacson @adamisacson.com · 27/09/2026I have childhood memories of WHN: en.wikipedia.org/wiki/WEPN_(AM) 100
Adam Isacson @adamisacson.com · 27/09/2026My latest declaration in the *Ruidosa Church* case against the Big Bend border wall has 31 pages of charts and tables, showing how rare illegal border crossings have been in an environmentally fragile area where the Trump admin wants to build barriers. storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.us... 188
Adam Isacson @adamisacson.com · 25/09/2026You know how DHS is spending over $7 billion on a border wall in the Big Bend region, calling it an area of "high illegal entry?" Well, Border Patrol now arrests more migrants in *upstate New York* (blue) than it does in its Big Bend Sector (green). Neither Big Bend nor Lake Ontario needs a wall. 1105
Adam Isacson @adamisacson.com · 25/09/2026The article says, "The message makes no reference to Cuba." But it's possible this is a plan for Cuba. However, Southcom may instead be planning a major ramp-up of operations hemisphere-wide. In August, Gen. Donovan discussed a "campaign plan" going online in November: www.war.gov/News/News-St.... 1165
Adam Isacson @adamisacson.com · 24/09/2026Photos of heavily armed US military personnel participating in raids today somewhere inside Ecuador. Seems to meet the War Powers Resolution’s definition of "hostilities." From x.com/DanielNoboaO... 1178
Adam Isacson @adamisacson.com · 24/09/2026An overnight operation in 3 provinces of Ecuador "in coordination with US troops and the DEA." This says "A US prosecutor and a local prosecutor participated in the raids, while military personnel from the Southern Command provided information and technology": www.eluniverso.com/noticias/seg... 077
Adam Isacson @adamisacson.com · 20/09/2026New boat strike tonight. 4 more killed in the Caribbean. The utter degradation of the United States of America continues. www.southcom.mil/News/PressRe... 13827
Adam Isacson @adamisacson.com · 18/09/20262 weeks ago, 1,000 riot-police shields were one of the first deliveries of security assistance to Bolivia in nearly 20 years. Now, Pennsylvania State Police are training Bolivian counterparts in crowd control techniques. Seems to be a pattern here. 196
Adam Isacson @adamisacson.com · 17/09/2026Data through August were released yesterday. After a year of lethal boat strikes (230 dead) in seas south of the US, are authorities finding less cocaine reaching US borders? No. Sorry. - 12 months before strikes began: 70,387 lbs seized - 12 months since: 69,703 lbs seized A 1% drop. 1136
Adam Isacson @adamisacson.com · 17/09/2026US Marines have been clearing land for an airfield in Ecuador. www.dvidshub.net/image/991327... 163
Adam Isacson @adamisacson.com · 17/09/2026Border Patrol's apprehensions of migrants at the US-Mexico border declined 5% from July to August, a typical summer decline. August was also typical of Trump admin-era trends: - 64% from Mexico; 87% MX+Central America - Rio Grande Valley TX busiest sector - 88% single adults bit.ly/cbp-encounters 031
Adam Isacson @adamisacson.com · 17/09/2026One wonders what Colombian soldiers and police, who saw comrades killed or wounded in combat with drug-trafficking armed groups over the past year, think of the Trump admin "decertifying" Colombia while Venezuela—where security forces widely collude with those groups—is now fully "certified." 172
Adam Isacson @adamisacson.com · 17/09/2026The White House keeps Colombia "decertified" for not meeting anti-drug goals—but waives penalties—even though the new president is a gung-ho hard-line drug warrior. www.state.gov/releases/off... 153
Adam Isacson @adamisacson.com · 16/09/2026Trying to measure drug seizures in the US is a terrible mess, as this 2019 Congressional Research Service report explains. It should be more of a scandal that we don't even measure *this* well. www.congress.gov/crs-product/... 120
Adam Isacson @adamisacson.com · 16/09/2026"The State Department on Tuesday notified Congress that it will reprogram $52 million in foreign military financing [FMF] from Slovakia, North Macedonia, Tunisia and Iraq to Panama, Peru, Ecuador and Colombia." That would roughly double FMF to those four countries. apnews.com/article/fore... 164
Adam Isacson @adamisacson.com · 15/09/2026The photo in this tweet is from Ecuador, interestingly: www.dvidshub.net/image/991343... 02211
Adam Isacson @adamisacson.com · 15/09/2026As this post on my blog lays out, "The reasoning behind this event is important, though it takes a few sentences to explain." See adamisacson.com/monday-the-2... 010
Adam Isacson @adamisacson.com · 15/09/2026What an absolutely remarkable thing for ICE to do, one day before House Republicans hold a hearing on the brutality of the Ortega-Murillo regime in Nicaragua. www.expedientepublico.org/ice-detains-... 273
Adam Isacson @adamisacson.com · 11/09/2026Besides, aerial fumigation didn't work. As WOLA demonstrated back in 2015, coca kept increasing in the mid-2000s even as fumigation increased. Manual eradication was more effective (though also flawed when not accompanied by state presence and services). www.wola.org/analysis/eve... 032
Adam Isacson @adamisacson.com · 11/09/2026Colombia’s police are reviving aerial fumigation of coca crops with herbicides, with a test project using 2 planes in Putumayo department (where Plan Colombia ops began in 2000). Colombia suspended this practice in 2015, citing public health concerns. www.policia.gov.co/noticia/comu... 142
Adam Isacson @adamisacson.com · 10/09/2026The Trump admin has put 4 Ecuadorian criminal groups/gangs on the US terrorist list. It's not clear what the strategic value is. Here's a graphic the Ecuadorian outlet Primicias made, using @acleddata.bsky.social data, showing 48 criminal groups. Lots of room for growth, right? 131
Adam Isacson @adamisacson.com · 10/09/20263 of the last 4 boat strikes have been in the Caribbean. “We haven’t had a strike in the Caribbean Basin in almost 5 weeks. Do you know why? It’s not because we stopped looking. It’s because no one wants to get on a boat anymore and do that. So it’s been effective.” —Marco Rubio, *last December*. 072
Adam Isacson @adamisacson.com · 10/09/2026The boat strikes death toll hits 230. This is the first strike announcement not attributed to a *person* who ordered it, like Gen. Donovan. Don't know what that means. These have been happening for over a year. Still no deterrence. This is neither "peace" nor "strength." It's gruesome. 77335
Adam Isacson @adamisacson.com · 09/09/2026Note Rubio's use of passive voice when asked about confronting Colombia's ELN inside Venezuela. The ELN specializes in attacking oil infrastructure. Kicking this hornet's nest inside Venez could complicate Trump's oil deal and create new problems for Delcy's regime. www.state.gov/releases/off... 183
Adam Isacson @adamisacson.com · 09/09/2026That's fine: a hasty, all-military, rights-violating offensive can do huge harm, and there are many past mistakes to avoid repeating. This, from de la Espriella, was the most detail offered about what Colombia wants; Rubio didn't specifically endorse it. www.state.gov/releases/off... 010
Adam Isacson @adamisacson.com · 09/09/2026Anyone else surprised by the lack of specificity about US security aid to Colombia in yesterday's Rubio appearances? I thought they'd be recklessly speed-running a big military offensive, but yesterday's message was more like "we need more details." www.state.gov/releases/off... 120
Adam Isacson @adamisacson.com · 08/09/2026Some of the first US aid to Bolivia in nearly 20 years is… a rush planeload of riot-control shields and MREs 🤔. 33614
Adam Isacson @adamisacson.com · 08/09/2026Will this stop cocaine trafficking? Perhaps in some eastern Pacific routes. But no, because profits are high and there are many other ways to transship a substance whose production for an entire year could fit into 1% of a cargo container ship. From WOLA: www.wola.org/analysis/kil... 143
Adam Isacson @adamisacson.com · 08/09/2026If Southcom's new anti-“refueling station” operations near Ecuador are truly happening according to US and international law—responsible use of force, nobody tortured after arrest, etc.—then they’re a sharp improvement over the past year’s lethal, illegal boat strikes. www.southcom.mil/Media/ 1103
Adam Isacson @adamisacson.com · 04/09/2026So Colombia's civilian and military leadership are posing in front of dead bodies now? During a 2000s crackdown, Álvaro Uribe cited security statistics. This is bloodlust. Take this to its logical conclusion, and Colombia's government will start putting human heads on pikes like in medieval Europe. 1122
Adam Isacson @adamisacson.com · 02/09/2026Here are some of the many other ways to move cocaine, from WOLA's July report: www.wola.org/analysis/kil... 070
Adam Isacson @adamisacson.com · 02/09/2026"Congratulations" to DOD for reducing small-boat trafficking on specific high-seas routes. If that was the only way to move cocaine, maybe you'd have something to show for killing 227 people with no evidence. But there are many alternate routes—and zero evidence of reduced cocaine supplies. 1144
Adam Isacson @adamisacson.com · 02/09/2026The first of the Trump admin's lethal, illegal boat strikes happened 1 year ago today. They're still happening. The death toll has spiraled to at least 227. See WOLA's running tally: www.wola.org/2025/11/us-m... See our July 24 report, "Killing Spree": www.wola.org/analysis/kil... 25529
Adam Isacson @adamisacson.com · 31/08/2026ICE has almost completely stopped deporting Mexican citizens across the land border. It’s flying most to Mexico’s far south. ICE deports over 1,100 3rd-country citizens per month at the land border—then Mexico’s government buses them to the far south. Things in Mexico's far south are very bad. 131
Adam Isacson @adamisacson.com · 29/08/2026Looks like I owe an apology to the annoying kids with the Che Guevara posters on their dorm walls, for telling them that reality is actually more nuanced than portrayed in Rage Against the Machine songs. 3255
Adam Isacson @adamisacson.com · 28/08/2026Just got my 500th perfect puzzle on NYT Connections. (I’m not good at many things, let me have this.) 2120
Adam Isacson @adamisacson.com · 26/08/2026The 2-month lull in boat strikes (following the Venezuela earthquakes) is over. 6 killed this week. 56225