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The Royal Institute of International Affairs - Chatham House. Independent thinking since 1920. Website🔗: chathamhouse.org Podcast🎙️: apple.co/45Bbbny Magazine: @theworldtoday.org Journal: @iajournal.bsky.social

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Reposted by Chatham House
The World Today @theworldtoday.org · 4h
Rising demand for sanctioned oil is entrenching the shadow fleet into the global economy. Following the energy shock triggered by the Strait of Hormuz crisis, countries have turned to sanctioned crude oil. Read Nitya Labh's analysis for the autumn issue of @theworldtoday.org.
chathamhouse.org
Will the oil-tanker shadow fleet ever be brought back into line?
Sanctions are inadvertently transforming ‘dark’ tankers taking Russian and Iranian oil around the world into a parallel trading system. Even with improved international relations, they are unlikely to...
014
Reposted by Chatham House
The World Today @theworldtoday.org · 6h
On Taiwan, Xi Jinping has undertaken a paradigm shift away from his predecessors. Xi has made Taiwan central to his China Dream of National Rejuvenation — making 2050 the deadline for incorporating the island into China. Read Steve Tsang's analysis for the autumn issue of @theworldtoday.org.
chathamhouse.org
What the West fails to grasp about China’s strategy to lead the world
Xi Jinping wants to forge ‘a common destiny for humankind’ by winning over the Global South and taking Taiwan. But if America and Europe are to counter this ‘double pivot’, they must better understand...
046
Chatham House @chathamhouse.org · 8h
Canada cannot detach its economy from the United States. Nor can Europe yet dispense with the transatlantic relationship. They can however reduce dependency on Donald Trump's Washington.
chathamhouse.org
‘Coupling without fusion’: Canada and Europe test a new kind of alliance
The deeper relationship proposed by Carney and von der Leyen could send a powerful geopolitical message. But can agreement be reached without antagonizing EU candidate countries?
2115
Reposted by Chatham House
The World Today @theworldtoday.org · 8h
Having staked so much on victory in Ukraine, Vladimir Putin appears unwilling to make any concessions in the face of mounting pressures. Russia's establishment, meanwhile, is signalling an appetite for an end to the war. Read Natalya Kovaleva's analysis for the autumn issue of @theworldtoday.org.
chathamhouse.org
Russia’s elites pay ever greater price for Ukraine war
High-level dissent is being stamped out as Putin makes big business bear the costs of the invasion – but concern is mounting, writes Natalya Kovaleva.
123
Reposted by Chatham House
The World Today @theworldtoday.org · 9h
"The moment I realized that rape as a weapon of war is not unique to Iraq — I realized that my community was bigger than the Yazidis." Nobel Peace Prize Laureate Nadia Murad talks about her mission to support survivors of conflict-related sexual violence for the autumn issue of @theworldtoday.org.
chathamhouse.org
Nadia Murad: ‘Yazidis are still looking for justice’
The human rights activist and Nobel Peace Prize Laureate speaks to Sara Seth about her journey from a prisoner of ISIS to her global mission to support survivors of conflict-related sexual violence – ...
062
Reposted by Chatham House
The World Today @theworldtoday.org · 9h
Over a million people – more than 15 per cent of Lebanon's population – have been displaced in the past two years of war between Hezbollah and Israel. Lebanon is facing a long-term displacement crisis it can ill afford. Read Lemma Shehadi's (@thenationalnews.com) reporting for @theworldtoday.org.
chathamhouse.org
Lebanon’s Shia refugees don’t know where to turn
Lebanese fleeing the country’s south are caught between the Israeli occupation and Hezbollah’s refusal to disarm. But for those seeking refuge in Beirut, further struggles await, writes Lemma Shehadi.
034
Reposted by Chatham House
Chatham House @chathamhouse.org · 19h
Chatham House experts and researchers are available to follow on Bluesky. Connect with our experts here and follow them for their analysis on key international events and major global trends. ⬇️ go.bsky.app/UKHXrog
go.bsky.app
Meet the Chatham House team
Join the conversation
0155
Chatham House @chathamhouse.org · 19h
Chatham House experts and researchers are available to follow on Bluesky. Connect with our experts here and follow them for their analysis on key international events and major global trends. ⬇️ go.bsky.app/UKHXrog
go.bsky.app
Meet the Chatham House team
Join the conversation
0155
Reposted by Chatham House
The World Today @theworldtoday.org · 20h
Since Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine, the nature of the ‘shadow fleet’ has changed. Before the invasion, 200 dark ships were believed to be operating. Estimates now put the fleet at more than 1,300 vessels. Read Nitya Labh's analysis for the autumn issue of @theworldtoday.org.
chathamhouse.org
Will the oil-tanker shadow fleet ever be brought back into line?
Sanctions are inadvertently transforming ‘dark’ tankers taking Russian and Iranian oil around the world into a parallel trading system. Even with improved international relations, they are unlikely to...
032
Chatham House @chathamhouse.org · 02/10/2026
A protracted war in Tigray will likely spill over beyond Ethiopia, into Eritrea and even into Sudan. Policymakers must find a way to take collective action to avert escalation in the Horn of Africa.
chathamhouse.org
War has returned to Tigray. This time it may not stay in Ethiopia
As fighting escalates in Tigray and neighbouring areas, there are fears that Ethiopia’s internal instability could spill over into the wider Horn of Africa region.
051
Reposted by Chatham House
The World Today @theworldtoday.org · 02/10/2026
At the end of 2025, more than 40 million people were refugees — close to an all-time high. Barham Salih (@unhcr.org) the UN High Commissioner for Refugees presents his plan to tackle the global refugee crisis in the autumn issue of @theworldtoday.org.
chathamhouse.org
My plan to cut the number of long-term refugees by half
Host countries that allow those in ‘protracted displacement’ to work boost their economies and improve refugees’ ability to resettle or return home, writes Barham Salih, the new UN High Commissioner f...
024
Reposted by Chatham House
The World Today @theworldtoday.org · 02/10/2026
Daily power cuts, fuel shortages and empty shop shelves are part of everyday life for Cubans as they struggle with the worst economic crisis seen in decades. Photographer Daniel Desormais discusses with @theworldtoday.org his visit to Cuba as the island braces itself for Donald Trump's next move.
chathamhouse.org
Resigned but resilient: How Cuba is enduring its US blackout
Daily power cuts, fuel shortages and empty shop shelves are part of everyday life for Cubans as they struggle with the worst economic crisis in decades. Photographer Daniel Desormais visited an island...
021
Chatham House @chathamhouse.org · 02/10/2026
As fighting escalates in Tigray and the neighbouring areas, there are fears that Ethiopia’s internal instability could spill over into Eritrea, Sudan and the wider Horn of Africa.
chathamhouse.org
War has returned to Tigray. This time it may not stay in Ethiopia
As fighting escalates in Tigray and neighbouring areas, there are fears that Ethiopia’s internal instability could spill over into the wider Horn of Africa region.
041
Reposted by Chatham House
The World Today @theworldtoday.org · 02/10/2026
Even if Donald Trump’s voter suppression and subversion efforts fail in November, they may create lasting doubt about the 2026 midterms result — and further undermine the faith of Americans in their democracy. Read the latest analysis by Bruce Stokes for the autumn issue of @theworldtoday.org.
chathamhouse.org
What will happen if Trump rejects the midterm results?
The administration’s efforts to undermine confidence in the US electoral system could spark a political crisis in November – with consequences for the 2028 presidential race and beyond, writes Bruce S...
043
Chatham House @chathamhouse.org · 02/10/2026
Over a million people – more than 15 per cent of Lebanon's population – have been displaced in the past two years of war between Hezbollah and Israel. Lebanon is facing a long-term displacement crisis it can ill afford. Read Lemma Shehadi's (@thenationalnews.com reporting for @@theworldtoday.org
chathamhouse.org
Lebanon’s Shia refugees don’t know where to turn
Lebanese fleeing the country’s south are caught between the Israeli occupation and Hezbollah’s refusal to disarm. But for those seeking refuge in Beirut, further struggles await, writes Lemma Shehadi.
084
Reposted by Chatham House
The World Today @theworldtoday.org · 02/10/2026
The strikes by Iran on Saudi Arabia’s oil facilities in 2019 exposed the limits of America's security umbrella. The Iran war has now reinforced the lesson: the United States cannot fully protect the Gulf monarchies. Read Mohsen Milani's latest analysis for the autumn issue of @theworldtoday.org
chathamhouse.org
How will the Iran war reshape the Persian Gulf?
When the fighting ends, America’s predominance in the region is likely to be eroded as Iran reasserts itself, the Arab monarchies reconsider their security – and China sees an opportunity. By Mohsen M...
043
Chatham House @chathamhouse.org · 02/10/2026
The Israel-Hamas peace process has hit a wall. Hamas has refused to give up its weapons unless Israel halts all military operations — while Israel says it will not withdraw until Hamas disarms.
chathamhouse.org
Can Gulf Arab countries help break the deadlock over Trump’s Gaza peace plan?
Gulf Arab states increasingly view Israel as the main obstacle to progress on the peace plan – and may hope for an opening after Israel’s October elections.
131
Chatham House @chathamhouse.org · 02/10/2026
Reopening the Strait of Hormuz requires a process that focuses on restoring freedom of navigation. It is unlikely to be addressed through another memorandum of understanding — or as part of a US-Iran grand bargain.
chathamhouse.org
Escaping the Hormuz trap: What should an agreement to reopen the Strait look like?
A detailed, reciprocal, and verifiable process is essential to ensure that any agreement holds.
051
Chatham House @chathamhouse.org · 02/10/2026
China's rise as a manufacturing powerhouse has enabled Beijing to produce high-tech products in large quantities — and at low cost. The ‘China shock 2.0' phenomenon is impacting Europe's economy and leading companies with far-reaching consequences. Read @jkynge.bsky.social's latest research.
chathamhouse.org
‘China shock 2.0’ and Europe’s industrial future
How the EU and UK can respond to Chinese technological supremacy
072
Chatham House @chathamhouse.org · 02/10/2026
Canada cannot detach its economy from the United States. Nor can Europe yet dispense with the transatlantic relationship. They can however both reduce dependency on Donald Trump's Washington.
chathamhouse.org
‘Coupling without fusion’: Canada and Europe test a new kind of alliance
The deeper relationship proposed by Carney and von der Leyen could send a powerful geopolitical message. But can agreement be reached without antagonizing EU candidate countries?
0213
Chatham House @chathamhouse.org · 02/10/2026
Artificial intelligence is developing rapidly and threatens to transform politics, economics and societies. Experts weigh in on the opportunities and dangers around AI. Read the autumn issue of @theworldtoday.org, the international affairs magazine of @chathamhouse.org | bit.ly/4j3LdmZ |
072
Chatham House @chathamhouse.org · 02/10/2026
Voters are divided over Brazil's political system and its place in the world. According to a Pew survey conducted this year, only 37 per cent of Brazilians were satisfied with their democracy — down from 66 per cent in 2013.
chathamhouse.org
Brazil’s presidential election is more than just another polarized contest
A Bolsonaro victory would mean Trump-aligned governments dominate South America.
010
Chatham House @chathamhouse.org · 01/10/2026
All political parties in South Africa, from the ANC to the Democratic Alliance, have increasingly blamed migrants for the country’s economic and societal struggles. Read @kirir.bsky.social's analysis on the politics of migration in South Africa for the autumn issue of @theworldtoday.org.
chathamhouse.org
Does South Africa’s anti-immigrant backlash signal the beginning of a new political era?
After a long season of vigilantism and protests against undocumented foreign nationals, November’s local elections will test whether anti-immigrant populism has appeal for an electorate dissatisfied w...
020
Chatham House @chathamhouse.org · 01/10/2026
Iran’s strikes on Saudi Arabia’s oil facilities in 2019 exposed the limits of America's security umbrella. The Iran war has now reinforced the lesson: the United States cannot fully protect the Gulf monarchies. Read Mohsen Milani's latest analysis for the autumn issue of @theworldtoday.org.
chathamhouse.org
How will the Iran war reshape the Persian Gulf?
When the fighting ends, America’s predominance in the region is likely to be eroded as Iran reasserts itself, the Arab monarchies reconsider their security – and China sees an opportunity. By Mohsen M...
040
Chatham House @chathamhouse.org · 01/10/2026
Since Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine, the nature of the ‘shadow fleet’ has changed. Before the invasion, 200 dark ships were believed to be operating. Today, estimates put the fleet at more than 1,300 vessels. Read Nitya Labh's latest analysis for the autumn issue of @theworldtoday.org.
chathamhouse.org
Will the oil-tanker shadow fleet ever be brought back into line?
Sanctions are inadvertently transforming ‘dark’ tankers taking Russian and Iranian oil around the world into a parallel trading system. Even with improved international relations, they are unlikely to...
0115
Chatham House @chathamhouse.org · 01/10/2026
Even if Donald Trump’s voter suppression and subversion efforts fail in November, they may create lasting doubt about the 2026 midterms result — and further undermine the faith of Americans in their democracy. Read the latest analysis by Bruce Stokes for the autumn issue of @theworldtoday.org.
chathamhouse.org
What will happen if Trump rejects the midterm results?
The administration’s efforts to undermine confidence in the US electoral system could spark a political crisis in November – with consequences for the 2028 presidential race and beyond, writes Bruce S...
041
Chatham House @chathamhouse.org · 01/10/2026
On Taiwan, Xi Jinping has undertaken a paradigm shift away from his predecessors. Xi has made Taiwan central to his China Dream of National Rejuvenation — making 2050 the deadline for incorporating the island into China. Read Steve Tsang's analysis for the autumn issue of @theworldtoday.org.
chathamhouse.org
What the West fails to grasp about China’s strategy to lead the world
Xi Jinping wants to forge ‘a common destiny for humankind’ by winning over the Global South and taking Taiwan. But if America and Europe are to counter this ‘double pivot’, they must better understand...
031
Chatham House @chathamhouse.org · 01/10/2026
Donald Trump’s original position was that ‘the ownership and control of Greenland is an absolute necessity’ for the United States. This new agreement represents a victory for calm and quiet Danish diplomacy.
chathamhouse.org
Denmark’s Greenland deal with Trump is a victory for diplomacy over bullying
Denmark used its soft power to rally support and took the dispute out of the limelight – addressing underlying US interests instead of President Trump’s unacceptable public position.
0102
Chatham House @chathamhouse.org · 01/10/2026
Reopening the Strait of Hormuz requires a process that focuses on restoring freedom of navigation. It is unlikely to be addressed through another memorandum of understanding — or as part of a US-Iran grand bargain.
chathamhouse.org
Escaping the Hormuz trap: What should an agreement to reopen the Strait look like?
A detailed, reciprocal, and verifiable process is essential to ensure that any agreement holds.
151
Reposted by Chatham House
The World Today @theworldtoday.org · 01/10/2026
Over a million people – more than 15 per cent of Lebanon's population – have been displaced in the past two years of war between Hezbollah and Israel. Lebanon is facing a displacement crisis it can ill afford. Read Lemma Shehadi's (@thenationalnews.com) reporting for @theworldtoday.org.
chathamhouse.org
Lebanon’s Shia refugees don’t know where to turn
Lebanese fleeing the country’s south are caught between the Israeli occupation and Hezbollah’s refusal to disarm. But for those seeking refuge in Beirut, further struggles await, writes Lemma Shehadi.
033
Reposted by Chatham House
The World Today @theworldtoday.org · 01/10/2026
Even if Donald Trump’s voter suppression and subversion efforts fail in November, they may create lasting doubt about the 2026 midterms result — and further undermine the faith of Americans in their democracy. Read the latest analysis by Bruce Stokes for the autumn issue of @theworldtoday.org.
chathamhouse.org
What will happen if Trump rejects the midterm results?
The administration’s efforts to undermine confidence in the US electoral system could spark a political crisis in November – with consequences for the 2028 presidential race and beyond, writes Bruce S...
043
Chatham House @chathamhouse.org · 01/10/2026
China’s ambition may not be to write all the rules, but to ensure that Washington is no longer the only power capable of writing them. Read Yu Jie's (@chasiapacific.bsky.social) latest analysis on China's ambitions for the international order for @time.com magazine.
time.com
America, China and the Evolving New World Order
"Even as the United States remains the world’s most powerful country, China is carving out space for alternatives beyond the American-led system," writes Yu Jie.
030
Reposted by Chatham House
The World Today @theworldtoday.org · 01/10/2026
"People have been cheering for the Houthis because they see them as standing up for Palestine, with no regard for the suffering they have caused in Yemen." For the autumn issue of @theworldtoday.org, Farea Al-Muslimi discusses his experiences with the Houthis in Yemen during the Arab Spring.
chathamhouse.org
Farea al-Muslimi: ‘I wrote my own death statement 5 times’
Chatham House’s research fellow in the Middle East and North Africa Programme on falling foul of Houthi warlords, testifying in the US Senate and how the Arab Spring changed his life.
061
Chatham House @chathamhouse.org · 01/10/2026
Voters are divided over Brazil’s political system and its place in the world. According to a Pew survey conducted this year, only 37 per cent of Brazilians were satisfied with their democracy — down from 66 per cent in 2013.
chathamhouse.org
Brazil’s presidential election is more than just another polarized contest
A Bolsonaro victory would mean Trump-aligned governments dominate South America.
030
Chatham House @chathamhouse.org · 01/10/2026
China's rise as a manufacturing powerhouse has enabled Beijing to produce high-tech products in large quantities — and at low cost. The ‘China shock 2.0' phenomenon is impacting Europe's economy and leading companies with far-reaching consequences. Read @jkynge.bsky.social's latest research.
chathamhouse.org
‘China shock 2.0’ and Europe’s industrial future
How the EU and UK can respond to Chinese technological supremacy
043
Chatham House @chathamhouse.org · 01/10/2026
Canada cannot detach its economy from the United States. Nor can the Europe yet dispense with the transatlantic relationship. They can however both reduce dependency on Donald Trump's Washington.
chathamhouse.org
‘Coupling without fusion’: Canada and Europe test a new kind of alliance
The deeper relationship proposed by Carney and von der Leyen could send a powerful geopolitical message. But can agreement be reached without antagonizing EU candidate countries?
1164
Reposted by Chatham House
The World Today @theworldtoday.org · 01/10/2026
"The moment I realized that rape as a weapon of war is not unique to Iraq — I realized that my community was bigger than the Yazidis." Nobel Peace Prize Laureate Nadia Murad talks about her journey from a prisoner of ISIS to her mission to support survivors of conflict-related sexual violence.
chathamhouse.org
Nadia Murad: ‘Yazidis are still looking for justice’
The human rights activist and Nobel Peace Prize Laureate speaks to Sara Seth about her journey from a prisoner of ISIS to her global mission to support survivors of conflict-related sexual violence – ...
182
Reposted by Chatham House
The World Today @theworldtoday.org · 01/10/2026
Having staked so much on victory in Ukraine, Vladimir Putin appears unwilling to make any concessions in the face of mounting pressures. Russia's establishment, meanwhile, is signalling an appetite for an end to the war. Read Natalya Kovaleva's analysis for the autumn issue of @theworldtoday.org.
chathamhouse.org
Russia’s elites pay ever greater price for Ukraine war
High-level dissent is being stamped out as Putin makes big business bear the costs of the invasion – but concern is mounting, writes Natalya Kovaleva.
1117
Chatham House @chathamhouse.org · 01/10/2026
Presidential approval matters in congressional elections. Donald Trump’s ratings are significantly lower than Bill Clinton’s in 1994 or Barack Obama’s in 2010 when Democrats lost multiple House and Senate seats.
chathamhouse.org
US midterms polls: Are Democrats winning or is Trump losing?
Polls suggest Democrats will take control of the House of Representatives as American voters are dissatisfied with President Trump and his policies.
041
Chatham House @chathamhouse.org · 01/10/2026
Reopening the Strait of Hormuz requires a process that focuses on restoring freedom of navigation. It is unlikely to be addressed through another memorandum of understanding — or as part of a US-Iran grand bargain.
chathamhouse.org
Escaping the Hormuz trap: What should an agreement to reopen the Strait look like?
A detailed, reciprocal, and verifiable process is essential to ensure that any agreement holds.
0123
Chatham House @chathamhouse.org · 01/10/2026
China’s rise as a manufacturing powerhouse has enabled Beijing to produce high-tech products in large quantities — and at low cost. The ‘China shock 2.0’ phenomenon is impacting Europe's economy and leading companies with far-reaching consequences. Read @jkynge.bsky.social's latest research.
chathamhouse.org
‘China shock 2.0’ and Europe’s industrial future
How the EU and UK can respond to Chinese technological supremacy
052
Chatham House @chathamhouse.org · 30/09/2026
China represents the United Kingdom’s most significant and systemic security challenge to science and technology research. While collaboration with China generates benefits for the UK economy, the scale and sophistication of Beijing’s attempts to gain technological advantages pose a security risk.
chathamhouse.org
How the UK should protect its science and tech research from foreign state threats
A case for a more systemic approach to research security
181
Chatham House @chathamhouse.org · 30/09/2026
Presidential approval matters in congressional elections. Donald Trump’s ratings are lower than Bill Clinton’s in 1994 or Barack Obama’s in 2010 when Democrats lost multiple House and Senate seats.
chathamhouse.org
US midterms polls: Are Democrats winning or is Trump losing?
Polls suggest Democrats will take control of the House of Representatives as American voters are dissatisfied with President Trump and his policies.
050
Chatham House @chathamhouse.org · 30/09/2026
The UK's world-class research in science and technology relies on openness and international collaboration, but this creates vulnerabilities that foreign states – particularly China – can exploit.
chathamhouse.org
How the UK should protect its science and tech research from foreign state threats
A case for a more systemic approach to research security
041
Chatham House @chathamhouse.org · 30/09/2026
Tehran has enforced its ‘closure’ of the Strait of Hormuz by demanding that ships transit through Iranian waters, charging tolls — and striking vessels it deems as violating its blockade.
chathamhouse.org
Escaping the Hormuz trap: What should an agreement to reopen the Strait look like?
A detailed, reciprocal, and verifiable process is essential to ensure that any agreement holds.
031
Chatham House @chathamhouse.org · 30/09/2026
The European Union and UK should use the ‘China Shock 2.0’ as a spur to speed up reforms aimed at boosting productivity and industrial competitiveness. This includes accelerating the EU’s implementation of the recommendations in the 2024 Draghi report. Read @jkynge.bsky.social's latest research.
chathamhouse.org
‘China shock 2.0’ and Europe’s industrial future
How the EU and UK can respond to Chinese technological supremacy
184
Reposted by Chatham House
The World Today @theworldtoday.org · 30/09/2026
Artificial intelligence is developing rapidly and threatens to transform politics, economics and societies. Experts weigh in on the opportunities and dangers around AI. Read the autumn issue of @theworldtoday.org, the international affairs magazine of @chathamhouse.org | bit.ly/4j3LdmZ |
012
Chatham House @chathamhouse.org · 30/09/2026
Presidential approval matters in congressional elections. Donald Trump’s ratings are significantly lower than Bill Clinton’s in 1994 or Barack Obama’s in 2010 when Democrats lost multiple House and Senate seats.
chathamhouse.org
US midterms polls: Are Democrats winning or is Trump losing?
Polls suggest Democrats will take control of the House of Representatives as American voters are dissatisfied with President Trump and his policies.
030
Chatham House @chathamhouse.org · 30/09/2026
China’s ambition may not be to write all the rules, but to ensure that Washington is no longer the only power capable of writing them. Read Yu Jie's (@chasiapacific.bsky.social) latest analysis on China's ambitions for the international order for @time.com magazine.
time.com
America, China and the Evolving New World Order
"Even as the United States remains the world’s most powerful country, China is carving out space for alternatives beyond the American-led system," writes Yu Jie.
083