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John Paulsen @4for4-john.bsky.social · 03/10/2026

Saturday rankings sweep complete. McLaurin/Keenan removed. Sneaky Start additions: JCM, E. Wilson, A. Williams, Wicks/Lemon, Tremayne, Hockenson (Coker seems iffy) JOHN50 gets you 50% off any sub. 💰️ Rankings: www.4for4.com/fantasy-foot... Sneaky Starts: www.4for4.com/2026/w4/week...

4for4.com

2026 Fantasy Football Projections - QB - Week 4 | 4for4

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John Paulsen @4for4-john.bsky.social · 03/10/2026

In the 14 games that T.J. Hockenson has played without Justin Jefferson, he's averaged 5.4-66-0.43 (8.0). Kyler has targeted Hockenson on 5-of-29 targeted pass attempts (17.2%). Jordan Addison has averaged 5.0-62-0.57 (7.6) in the 7 games he's played without JJ. 5-90-1 (9) after JJ left early.

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John Paulsen @4for4-john.bsky.social · 03/10/2026

I added Jacory Croskey-Merritt, Emanuel Wilson, and Dontayvion Wicks to Week 4's Sneaky Starts 👇 Jordan Addison and Kenyon Sadiq have also seen recent bumps due to expected usage. JOHN50 gets you 50% off any 4for4 subscription. www.4for4.com/2026/w4/week...

4for4.com

Week 4 Fantasy Football Sneaky Starts & Sleepers

All but the luckiest fantasy owners at some point need to find the proverbial diamond in the rough—a waiver wire or bench player capable of putting up some points in a pinch. This weekly feature is…

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John Paulsen @4for4-john.bsky.social · 30/09/2026

5. If you liked this thread, you can find all of my work at 4for4, including - award-winning rankings - projections - articles The full Week 4 Sneaky Starts column has 17 more players. Use code JOHN50 for 50% off any 4for4 subscription: www.4for4.com/2026/w4/week...

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John Paulsen @4for4-john.bsky.social · 30/09/2026

4. TE: Darren Waller, Panthers (vs. DET) Snap share: W1 - 35% W2 - 44% W3 - 51% Detroit is allowing 9.7 catches, 117 yards, and 2.0 TDs per game to TEs. 👀

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John Paulsen @4for4-john.bsky.social · 30/09/2026

3. WR: Keenan Allen, Colts (@ WAS) With Alec Pierce out last week, his snap share spiked to 73%. Allen 6-63-1 (9) Washington is giving up 15.3 catches, 191 yards, and 2.0 TDs per game to WRs. 80th-percentile route grade last year, still dangerous at 34.

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John Paulsen @4for4-john.bsky.social · 30/09/2026

2. RB: Braelon Allen, Jets (@ CHI) Breece Hall left Week 3 with a thigh issue and is likely to miss at least 1 week. That puts Allen in the lead role, with Isaiah Davis as the change-of-pace back. A lead role is worth a flex/RB2 start in most formats.

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John Paulsen @4for4-john.bsky.social · 30/09/2026

1. QB: Bryce Young, Panthers (vs. DET) Detroit is allowing 326 passing yards and 3.0 passing TDs per game to QBs. Young just threw 48 times for 291 yards and a score against Cleveland, and I think the volume will be there again.

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John Paulsen @4for4-john.bsky.social · 30/09/2026

Detroit is getting fleeced by opposing QBs and TEs. 2 of my 4 Week 4 fantasy football Sneaky Starts are Panthers, one at each position:

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John Paulsen @4for4-john.bsky.social · 30/09/2026

By the way, our new Free Agent Finder makes waivers a breeze. 👇️

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John Paulsen @4for4-john.bsky.social · 30/09/2026

If you liked this thread, you can find more stats like these in the 4for4 subscriber Discord. Subscribers get these for every game in the 4for4 Discord every Monday. Use code JOHN50 for 50% off any 4for4 subscription: www.4for4.com/plans

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John Paulsen @4for4-john.bsky.social · 30/09/2026

6. Quentin Johnston is still playing more snaps (87%), but in W3 Tre' Harris led LAC in targets (7), catches (6), and yards (76) on 58% of the snaps. He's second on the team in catches (10), and yards (149). Stash him/trade for him if you can; might be something there.

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John Paulsen @4for4-john.bsky.social · 30/09/2026

5. With Caleb Douglas out: Malik Washington 5-56 (10), 86% snaps Chris Bell 4-67 (7), 71% snaps Greg Dulcich 5-55 (7) Bell is trending up.

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John Paulsen @4for4-john.bsky.social · 30/09/2026

4. With Alec Pierce out: Downs 5-77 (11) Warren 9-55 (10) Allen 6-63-1 (9) Josh Downs delivered as a Sneaky Start. Keenan Allen spiked to a 73% snap share and could be usable on a weekly basis. 👴

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John Paulsen @4for4-john.bsky.social · 30/09/2026

3. Zay Flowers played through a hamstring, which typically cuts production 18%, per our Injury Index. On a 20- to 30-snap count, that put his projection at 9.7 half-PPR points. He played 21 snaps and sat at exactly 9.7 🎯 ...until Lamar Jackson found him for 27 yards on the last play.

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John Paulsen @4for4-john.bsky.social · 30/09/2026

George Kittle snap share: W1 - 46% W2 - 48% W3 - 85% Kittle 6-82-2 (7) after 4-80-1 (4) Shaping up as maybe the best middle-round TE value, though Travis Kelce and Dalton Kincaid will have something to say about that.

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John Paulsen @4for4-john.bsky.social · 30/09/2026

2. My favorite Strategery late-round QB, Brock Purdy, added another 297/4 plus 34 rushing yards. He's the QB2 on the season at 27.0 points per game. 😎

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John Paulsen @4for4-john.bsky.social · 30/09/2026

1. Jaxon Smith-Njigba has 90.6 half-PPR points through 3 weeks. That's a mind-boggling 153-2,295-34 pace. Paces don't hold. But... 🤯

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John Paulsen @4for4-john.bsky.social · 30/09/2026

A TE whose snaps nearly doubled. A Charger worth stashing. A hamstring projection that hit to the decimal... until the last play. 6 key stats from Week 3 fantasy football, straight from Thinking Outside the Box, exclusive to the 4for4 Discord 👇️

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John Paulsen @4for4-john.bsky.social · 29/09/2026

Most managers are going to bid on Gordon because he got the work in Week 3, but Wright was out with an injury and is considered day-to-day. He's listed as Achane's backup on MIA's unofficial depth chart.

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John Paulsen @4for4-john.bsky.social · 29/09/2026

While most of Jaylen Wright's numbers aren't good, they are almost universally better than Gordon's. Wright has an above-average YAC/att (69th percentile) and YAC/rec (60th percentile), while Gordon's lone good metric is BrkTkl/touch (85th-percentile).

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John Paulsen @4for4-john.bsky.social · 29/09/2026

With De'Von Achane's season-ending ACL injury, many people are wondering about Jaylen Wright vs. Ollie Gordon. Given the state of the MIA offense, the answer is probably neither, because both players will be sharing a bad role, but if I had to choose--I'd pick Wright as my waiver wire add.

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John Paulsen @4for4-john.bsky.social · 29/09/2026

🚨 It's aFPA day at 4for4. Our signature SOS metric, adjusted fantasy points allowed, is now live with '26 data. We adjust for schedule, so it's an apples-to-apples comparison. Great for making lineup/roster decisions. Use code JOHN50 for 50% off any sub: www.4for4.com/hot-spots?ta...

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John Paulsen @4for4-john.bsky.social · 27/09/2026

I added Zay Flowers to the rankings, assuming an 18% drop in production per our Injury Index study. Lands around WR27. Great matchup. Still like Rashod Bateman and Mark Andrews, though the ceilings are lower with Flowers available. Snap count still possible. www.4for4.com/fantasy-foot...

4for4.com

2026 Fantasy Football Projections - PPR - Superflex - Week 3 | 4for4

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John Paulsen @4for4-john.bsky.social · 27/09/2026

Just finished an early rankings sweep and waiting on inactives. Weather in the TEN/NYG and SEA/WAS games--rain and wind, but nothing too alarming. Still, conditions likely to be a little sloppy. JOHN50 gets 50% off any 4for4 sub if you don't already have access 👇 www.4for4.com/fantasy-foot...

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2026 Fantasy Football Projections - Flex - Week 3 | 4for4

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John Paulsen @4for4-john.bsky.social · 26/09/2026

Just finished my Saturday morning rankings sweep, so take a look if you have any close calls 👇️ JOHN50 gets you 50% any 4for4 sub if you don't already have access 💰️ www.4for4.com/fantasy-foot...

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2026 Fantasy Football Projections - Superflex - Week 3 | 4for4

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John Paulsen @4for4-john.bsky.social · 25/09/2026

5. If you liked this thread, you can find all of my work at 4for4, including - rankings - projections - articles 2x FantasyPros Most Accurate Expert 10x Top 10 Accuracy, 2010-21 My full Week 3 Sneaky Starts column is here. Code JOHN50 takes 50% off: www.4for4.com/2026/w3/week...

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John Paulsen @4for4-john.bsky.social · 25/09/2026

4. TE Oronde Gadsden, LAC vs. BUF David Njoku (fibula) and Charlie Kolar (forearm) are out. The seas have parted. His snap rate went from 18% in Week 1 to 44% in Week 2 and should spike further. From Week 6 on last year: 3.4-49-0.25 on 4.8 targets per game.

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John Paulsen @4for4-john.bsky.social · 25/09/2026

3. WR Deebo Samuel, SF vs. ARI Demarcus Robinson (high ankle) is out. Mike Evans (hip) is questionable. Samuel 9-79-1 (11) through 2 weeks, plus 2 carries for 16 yards. He's playing with one of the most efficient QBs in the league.

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John Paulsen @4for4-john.bsky.social · 25/09/2026

2. RB David Montgomery, HOU at IND Week 1: 20-60-2 rushing, 3-19-1 receiving, all 5 of Houston's red zone carries Week 2: 6 carries for 10 yards in a 20-6 loss Indy has allowed 1,029 yards through 2 games, 354 on the ground. Monty should produce.

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John Paulsen @4for4-john.bsky.social · 25/09/2026

1. QB Tyler Shough, NO vs. LV He leads the NFL in completions (62) and passing yards (662) through 2 weeks. Week 1: 410 yards Week 2: 252/1, plus 23 rushing yards and the game-winning sneak He's my QB7 this week.

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John Paulsen @4for4-john.bsky.social · 25/09/2026

I have a streaming QB inside my Week 3 top 8. He's 1 of 24 fantasy football Sneaky Starts that I wrote up this week. Here are 4, one at each position:

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John Paulsen @4for4-john.bsky.social · 24/09/2026

📈 Just finished my full Thursday morning rankings sweep, so be sure to take a look if you have any tough decisions involving ATL/GB players. JOHN50 gets 50% off any 4for4 sub if you don't already have access 👇️ www.4for4.com/fantasy-foot...

4for4.com

2026 Fantasy Football Projections - QB - Week 3 | 4for4

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John Paulsen @4for4-john.bsky.social · 22/09/2026

If you liked this thread, you can find all of my work at 4for4, including - rankings - projections - articles I post these for every game in the subscriber Discord every Monday. Use code JOHN50 for 50% off any 4for4 sub: www.4for4.com/plans

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John Paulsen @4for4-john.bsky.social · 22/09/2026

9. Bhayshul Tuten is dominating the JAX backfield right now. Through 2 games: 28 carries and 3 catches for 150 total yards. It's not massive usage, but in a good offense, he should deliver low-end RB2 production with that workload.

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John Paulsen @4for4-john.bsky.social · 22/09/2026

8. D'Andre Swift has 40 touches through 2 games. 1,981 total yard pace. Paces don't always hold, but the workload is very real.

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John Paulsen @4for4-john.bsky.social · 22/09/2026

7. Adonai Mitchell was a fun pick in the final rounds. Mitchell 9-123 (14) through 2 weeks That's a 1,046-yard pace. Talented real-world WR2, had his moments last year, slight QB upgrade, good camp buzz. It's all happening.

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John Paulsen @4for4-john.bsky.social · 22/09/2026

6. Rashod Bateman came in uncomfortably high when I first ran Week 2 rankings without Zay Flowers. So I moved him down. Turns out I should have left him as a WR3. Bateman 7-88-1 (9)

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John Paulsen @4for4-john.bsky.social · 22/09/2026

5. I'm still confident in Chris Godwin, but I'm not loving 3 targets. Godwin 3-46 (3) + a 12-yard run He's averaging 2.38 YPRR from the slot but has run just 34 of 69 routes there. In 2024, when he was the overall WR4 before his injury, it was 64%. That has to go up.

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John Paulsen @4for4-john.bsky.social · 22/09/2026

4. Priority add for anyone with TE issues: Oronde Gadsden. David Njoku (fibula) and Charlie Kolar (forearm) are both going on IR and will miss 4 games. The Chargers have to play Gadsden now. From Week 6 on last season, he averaged 3.4-49-0.25 on 4.8 targets per game.

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John Paulsen @4for4-john.bsky.social · 22/09/2026

3. Tucker Kraft played 98% of the snaps. He ran 33 routes while Watson and Golden ran 35. They did NOT keep him in to block even though the GB OL is predictably bad. The production will come, and the Packers need it desperately.

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John Paulsen @4for4-john.bsky.social · 22/09/2026

2. Mark Andrews has played 71% of the snaps this season after averaging 62% last year. He's playing at an 85-833 pace. The TDs should eventually come.

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John Paulsen @4for4-john.bsky.social · 22/09/2026

1. Dalton Kincaid is finally having a breakout season. Kincaid 7-95-1 (8) The snaps are the story: 69% this year vs. 37% last year and 57% the year before. His role finally matches his talent.

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John Paulsen @4for4-john.bsky.social · 22/09/2026

Every Monday, I post key usage stats from every game in the 4for4 subscriber Discord. On Tuesday, you get a taste: 9 fantasy football usage notes from Week 2 that matter more than what's in the box scores 👇️

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John Paulsen @4for4-john.bsky.social · 15/09/2026

yes, in the # analytics-insights channel

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John Paulsen @4for4-john.bsky.social · 14/09/2026

If you liked this thread, you can find all of my work at 4for4, including - rankings - projections - articles I post usage breakdowns like this in the 4for4 subscriber Discord every Monday before they ever hit social media. Use code JOHN50 for 50% off any 4for4 subscription: www.4for4.com/plans

4for4.com

4for4 Plans & Pricing

(MUST BE YOUR FIRST TIME PURCHASING)

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John Paulsen @4for4-john.bsky.social · 14/09/2026

9. Green Bay's receiver room already has a clear pecking order after 1 week. Watson 6-147-2 (8) Golden 6-95 (12) Reed 3-20 (7) Kraft 3-65 (6) still on a snap count Jordan Love threw for 387/2 behind an OL that ranked near the bottom of the league in spending this offseason.

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