Excellent tweetorial by @ericjpedersen.bsky.social on Simon Wood’s new Neighborhood Cross Validation smoothness selection method, which is especially useful when fitting data with temporal and spatial dependence among observations
I've been working with NCV this last week; it's a powerful tool for modelling data with dependencies that are poorly/inefficiently modelled via stochastic process priors like cov functions or low-rank smoothers. However, it's a complex topic, so I thought I'd summarize the key ideas in a thread 1/n