Chart-heavy thread incoming. This is an attempt to survey the research to answer the question - were the forecasts predicting a lot of Brexit damage correct? 1/n.
@johnspringford.bsky.socialThe Constitution Society and Federal Trust asked me to do a survey of the evidence on the economics of Brexit, nine years on from the vote.
Hopefully it's a helpful reference. Short answer: the consensus was right - a large hit to GDP, trade and investment.
consoc.org.uk/publications...
consoc.org.uk
The Economic Impact of Brexit, Nine Years On: Was the Consensus Right? - The Constitution Society
John Springford analyses the economic consequences of Brexit and compares this predictions made at the time of the Leave vote.
