Pavel @spavel.bsky.social · 30/05/2025There's a fourth loop that was modeled in 2020 based on responses to COVID - "are we learning right?" In other words, is our approach for modeling the world and bringing in data allowing us to define what our goal should be effectively? 1956
Pavel @spavel.bsky.social · 30/05/2025But all of this is nerd shit. The prevailing problem solving method resembles the old army joke: - Go dig a trench. - How long should the trench be? - From this fencepost, until lunchtime. 21347
Pavel @spavel.bsky.social · 30/05/2025An example of what happens when you have bad leading indicators: someone here decided that "# of users clicking" was a good leading indicator - so the designer is optimizing for # of clicks rather than usefulness. Alt text: a notification that says "heat risk change" but not what the change is. 21048
Amyville Hoyrror @amyhoy.bsky.social · 30/05/2025i came across this idea as “how deep is a hole?” 140