Brandon Caples @bcaples.bsky.social · 18/08/2026Trump's approval among Independents sits at 34% — well below the 40% threshold that has historically preceded a midterm wave. Source: uspollingdata.com/polls/trump-... 100
Brandon Caples @bcaples.bsky.social · 18/08/2026“The 34% independent approval is the politically decisive figure — every president who triggered a wave midterm loss saw independent approval fall below 40% before Election Day. Trump's 34% puts him well into wave territory, now below the 36% level that preceded Democrats' 41-seat gain in 2018.”uspollingdata.comTrump Approval Rating 2026 — Monthly Tracker & Historical ComparisonTrump approval rating August 2026: 38.2% approve, 58.8% disapprove (-20.6 net). Independent approval 34% — below the 36% level that preceded Democrats' 41-seat wave in 2018. Monthly tracking Jan-May 2... 000
