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Reed Orchinik @rorchinik.bsky.social · 26/09/2023

Beliefs about climate scientists can meaningfully change the impact of consensus messaging. At the same time, consensus, in turn, shapes beliefs about scientists. This is suggestive of the occurrence of hierarchical inference, as predicted by influential theory.

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Reed Orchinik @rorchinik.bsky.social · 26/09/2023

We vary the level of scientific consensus in a large, nationally-representative sample to explore how individuals attribute consensus to climate change and the attributes of scientists. First, we find that higher consensus increases belief in climate change across parties!

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Reed Orchinik @rorchinik.bsky.social · 26/09/2023

Across parties, there are marked differences in the perceived skill and bias of scientists. Democrats think that pro-consensus scientists (those who say climate change is occurring) are largely skilled and unbiased. Republicans, however, think the opposite.

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