Mike Walker @newnarrative.bsky.social · 09/10/2026Nate Silver Forecast: The Democrats chances of winning both the Senate and House are running high as Trump's popularity wanes. www.newsweek.com/democrat-cha...newsweek.comDemocrat Chances of Winning House, Senate Hit New High—Nate Silver Forecast 111
Dear Leader @dearleader8647.bsky.social · 09/10/2026Does Nate factor in caging? the effect of deep fakes? Russian interference? With only 1% of people answering their phones, instead of the usual 10% of years ago, I wonder how relevant surveys are, or even Nate and Lichtman. In close races, when good estimates are needed, Nate's wide confidence 100