Also should be said that this is what happens when people from the natural sciences think they can do sociology without doing the work.
To a physicist, the most natural way to handle a terrifyingly complex system is to build a simplified toy model.
Don't fall for these headlines.
When you see stuff like this, ask yourself how they could possibly predict such things.
It's not based on statistics or objective measures. It's not based on rigorous scholarly research, they aren't breaking down social systems or looking at historical context.