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Ash Oro @ashoro.co.uk · 28/08/2026

10/12 The insurance providers are then asked to price a risk while the principal stakeholders describe different operating systems. A US military assessment, an Iranian permit regime and an unverified Oman–Iran corridor do not yet form one coherent environment.

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Ash Oro @ashoro.co.uk · 28/08/2026

11/12 The (badly drawn) chart shows the problem simply. CENTCOM is referring to the established TSS. Iran and Oman are discussing a separate temporary corridor of roughly seven nautical miles nearer Iran, but no coordinates, chart or operational instructions have been published.

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Ash Oro @ashoro.co.uk · 28/08/2026

12/12 A unilateral declaration does not reopen the Strait. It adds uncertainty across the bridge, operations desk and insurance market. I examine those decisions in more depth here. As always I am available for answers to any and all questions on #TheHormuzCrisis.

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A Press Release Is Not a Passage Plan: What CENTCOM’s Hormuz Announcement Means for Merchant Shipping | Ash Oro

CENTCOM says the recognised shipping lanes through Hormuz have been cleared of mines. That may be an important military achievement, but it does not by itself create a route that a commercial Master c...

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