Ash Oro @ashoro.co.uk · 29/07/20267/15 Modern surveillance, vessel reporting and maritime domain awareness improve safety, but they are also dual-use. The same systems that help ships navigate safely can also support sanctions, intelligence gathering and economic pressure. 160
Ash Oro @ashoro.co.uk · 29/07/20268/15 Hormuz is different because any future governance arrangement would emerge from conflict rather than decades of stable regional cooperation. Similar administrative structures do not necessarily reflect similar political foundations. 160
Ash Oro @ashoro.co.uk · 29/07/20269/15 This is why I think the real issue isn't whether Hormuz becomes "another Malacca" or vice-versa. The question is whether changes in one major international strait begin to influence expectations about how other strategic chokepoints are governed. 160