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Ash Oro @ashoro.co.uk · 12/04/2026

8/11 So when people say: “The US can just keep the Strait open and blockade Kharg Island” What they really mean is: “The US can sustain acceptable risk indefinitely” And my answer is simple. Can they really? #Hormuz #IranWar #NavalSupply #LogisticsinWar #Blockade #KhargIsland

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Ash Oro @ashoro.co.uk · 12/04/2026

9/11 This isn’t about capability failure. It’s doctrine playing out in real time. Control is conditional Denial is scalable Risk determines behaviour And the Gulf Region amplifies all of it.

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Ash Oro @ashoro.co.uk · 12/04/2026

10/11 If you want to understand what’s actually happening: Stop thinking in terms of: “Straits, Open vs Closed - Blockades are the Key” Start thinking in terms of: Risk vs Sustainability That’s where the real signal is. #Hormuz #IranWar #NavalSupply #LogisticsinWar #Blockade #KhargIsland

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