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AuInData @auindata.bsky.social · 28/07/2026

The 2026 El Nino is coming fast and early. No event has reached this high from a low in 19 months. On a different trajectory. #elnino #climate

As of 26 July 2026, the Relative Niño 3.4 index stands at +1.94°C — more than double the Australian Bureau of Meteorology's (BOM) +0.8°C El Niño declaration threshold, and 3.21°C above the La Niña low of January 2025 from which the current episode is measured. Nineteen months into that rise, 2026 is level with 1902–03, the highest any trajectory has reached at this point in its calendar. Of the 25 events in the record with a comparable reading at 19 months, none is above it.