People do not respond to crimerates, but to perceived crimes. What we are witnessing is - paraphrasing Watzlawick - not an epidemic of crime but an epidemic of observed and scandalized crime.
Looking at the 2024 crime figures, it's absolutely insane how Trump, tech billionaires, and centrist pundits fooled everyone into thinking Biden had turned the U.S. into some Hobbesian hellscape.
50-year lows for violent crime, armed robbery, property crime. Second-lowest homicide rate.
ourworldindata.org
How have crime rates in the United States changed over the last 50 years?
Both violent and property crime are far below their 1990s peak, but some crimes see periodic rises.