Not gonna argue with folks who "get paid to do this unlike chart guys," but how does one see data like this and say we are growing above trend and especially above pre-Covid. data.worldbank.org/indicator/NY... not to mention 2025-2026 is despite tremendous AI investment and tax cuts.
I don't think 2.1% growth should be called above trend, since it would be lower than 2023 and 2024, and equal to 2025.
Even so, I'll take it, and predict that US GDP growth from 9/26 to 9/27 will be lower than 2.1%. Maybe I'm wrong. We'll see.