Joshua Kertzer @jkertzer.bsky.social · 04/05/2026Via seven waves of survey data from 2002-2024 (+ 1 survey experiment), we show that FP opinion leaders systematically misperceive Americans as more inward-looking than they really are, underestimating support for: - Free trade - Immigration - Working through IOs - Playing an active role 🌎 - etc. 220
Joshua Kertzer @jkertzer.bsky.social · 04/05/2026Interestingly, the mechanisms here differ from existing findings on domestic politics on projection biases, since the issues elites themselves support the most are the ones they presume the public opposes (and vice versa) Lots more in the paper! www.cambridge.org/core/journal...cambridge.orgElite Misperceptions in Foreign Policy | British Journal of Political Science | Cambridge CoreElite Misperceptions in Foreign Policy - Volume 56 020