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RNIM (Research Network on Intergenerational Mobility) @rnim-seminar.bsky.social · 07/03/2026

𝗟𝗶 𝗬𝗮𝗻𝗴 (Hong Kong University) will present his paper on 𝗠𝗮𝗿𝗰𝗵 𝟭𝟲, 𝟮𝟬𝟮𝟲. #EconSky #SocSky #AcademicSky Join Us! Title: 𝗙𝗿𝗼𝗺 𝗟𝗶𝗼𝗻 𝗥𝗼𝗰𝗸 𝘁𝗼 𝗟𝗼𝗰𝗸𝗲𝗱 𝗚𝗮𝘁𝗲𝘀: 𝗧𝗵𝗲 𝗗𝗲𝗰𝗹𝗶𝗻𝗲 𝗼𝗳 𝗨𝗽𝘄𝗮𝗿𝗱 𝗠𝗼𝗯𝗶𝗹𝗶𝘁𝘆 𝗶𝗻 𝗛𝗼𝗻𝗴 𝗞𝗼𝗻𝗴 Time : 𝟭𝟬 𝗔𝗠 𝗘𝗦𝗧 ||𝟰 𝗣𝗠 𝗖𝗘𝗧 || 𝟭𝟭 𝗣𝗠 𝗖𝗵𝗶𝗻𝗮 Registration: 👉 tinyurl.com/ekdw93ma 👇Abstract:

This study provides the first comprehensive analysis of absolute intergenerational mobility (AIM) in Hong Kong, using census data spanning four decades. Employing the “copula and marginals” method, the authors document a sharp decline in AIM, from 85% for the 1976 birth cohort to 49% for the 2001 cohort, driven largely by diminished labor income mobility. The erosion stems primarily from slower economic growth rather than rising inequality; under constant economic growth, AIM would stabilize at approximately 67%, accounting for nearly all of the decline, with minimal residual from inequality or copula changes. The findings are robust across specifications, and an innovative Mincer equation–based decomposition highlights education’s critical role in mitigating declines, offering general insights into how tertiary expansion shapes mobility in transitioning economies.

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