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RNIM (Research Network on Intergenerational Mobility) @rnim-seminar.bsky.social · 09/12/2025

𝗗𝗶𝗼𝗴𝗼 𝗕𝗿𝗶𝘁𝘁𝗼 (Bocconi U) will present his paper on 𝗗𝗲𝗰𝗲𝗺𝗯𝗲𝗿 𝟭𝟮, 𝟮𝟬𝟮𝟱. #EconSky #AcademicSky #Socsky Join us! Title: 𝗖𝗼𝗻𝗱𝗶𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻𝗮𝗹 𝗖𝗮𝘀𝗵 𝗧𝗿𝗮𝗻𝘀𝗳𝗲𝗿𝘀 𝗮𝗻𝗱 𝗜𝗻𝘁𝗲𝗿𝗴𝗲𝗻𝗲𝗿𝗮𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻𝗮𝗹 𝗠𝗼𝗯𝗶𝗹𝗶𝘁𝘆 Time : 𝟵 𝗔𝗠 𝗘𝗦𝗧 || 𝟯 𝗣𝗠 𝗖𝗘𝗧 || 𝟭𝟬 𝗣𝗠 𝗖𝗵𝗶𝗻𝗮 Registration: 👉 tinyurl.com/ekdw93ma 👇Abstract:

Conditional Cash Transfers (CCTs) are widely used as a poverty reduction policy. While a large stream of literature has evaluated their short-term impacts, we know far less about their long-term effects. This paper investigates the long-term, intergenerational effects of one of the largest CCT in the world: Brazil's Programa Bolsa Família (PBF). To estimate PBF long-term effects, we compare adult outcomes of siblings more and less exposed to the program due to their age in families targeted and not by the program using a difference-in-differences design and a comprehensive set of population-wide administrative datasets. We show that PBF significantly increases human capital accumulation, earnings, and intergenerational income mobility, and that it reduces welfare dependency by the next generation. These effects are more pronounced for younger children and women, highlighting the importance of early exposure to the program. Our findings underscore the effectiveness of PBF in breaking the intergenerational cycle of poverty and fostering social mobility.

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