This is not shocking at all. Kotek has done pretty much no messaging or campaigning and has had mostly negative reactions from pretty much everyone for the last year instead going "I'm a democrat so no matter what I'm going to win" in a state that has been moving purple on statewide stuff
The poll's findings are the latest sign that Democrats are once again struggling to sell a record of accomplishment to a skeptical public — fewer than 30% of respondents to OPB’s poll said they believe the state is going in the right direction, and 58% signaled that it’s on the wrong track.
opb.org
OPB poll shows Oregon governor’s race virtually deadlocked
The poll shows Republican state Sen. Christine Drazan with a slim lead over Democratic Gov. Tina Kotek, though it was within the survey’s margin of error.