Yes!!! I love this paper! Creative use of the Lleras Muney long mortality model and high res short run data to answer a causal question that is otherwise super hard!
Forthcoming in the AER: "The Long-run Effect of Air Pollution on Survival" by Julian Reif and Tatyana Deryugina.
aeaweb.org
The Long-run Effect of Air Pollution on Survival
(Forthcoming Article) - Many environmental hazards have long-run health effects, but quasi-experimental
studies typically measure outcomes and treatment over short time periods. We develop
a new framework for quantifying the effect of air pollution exposure on life expectancy.
Using daily changes in wind direction as an instrument for air pollution, we first charac-
terize the dynamic mortality effects of short-run exposure. We then incorporate these
estimates into a demographic model to quantify the lifelong effects of a permanent re-
duction in air pollution exposure. Ninety percent of the survival benefits accrue after
the first fifty years of life.